Skip to main content
icon for 威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for 威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

湯姆·蒂芬尼 99.8%

安迪·曼斯基 <1%

Eric Hovde <1%

肖恩·達菲 <1%

Polymarket

$98,239 交易量

湯姆·蒂芬尼 99.8%

安迪·曼斯基 <1%

Eric Hovde <1%

肖恩·達菲 <1%

Polymarket

$98,239 交易量

湯姆·蒂芬尼

$15,369 交易量

100%

安迪·曼斯基

$4,811 交易量

1%

Eric Hovde

$21,274 交易量

<1%

肖恩·達菲

$37,280 交易量

<1%

Rebecca Kleefisch

$6,381 交易量

<1%

喬許·舍曼

$4,669 交易量

<1%

湯米·湯普森

$4,546 交易量

<1%

蒂姆·麥克斯

$3,908 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Tom Tiffany secured overwhelming trader consensus in the Wisconsin Republican primary for governor due to his early consolidation of support. President Trump's January 2026 endorsement prompted stronger rivals, including Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann and manufacturing executive Bill Berrien, to withdraw, leaving only minor challengers such as Andy Manske. As a U.S. representative and House Freedom Caucus member with prior state legislative experience, Tiffany benefited from unified party backing and limited primary opposition in an open-seat race. With the August 11 primary now complete and results showing Tiffany above 95 percent of the vote, the implied probability reflects this decisive outcome. Late certification issues or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest remaining paths to any shift.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$98,239
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Tom Tiffany secured overwhelming trader consensus in the Wisconsin Republican primary for governor due to his early consolidation of support. President Trump's January 2026 endorsement prompted stronger rivals, including Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann and manufacturing executive Bill Berrien, to withdraw, leaving only minor challengers such as Andy Manske. As a U.S. representative and House Freedom Caucus member with prior state legislative experience, Tiffany benefited from unified party backing and limited primary opposition in an open-seat race. With the August 11 primary now complete and results showing Tiffany above 95 percent of the vote, the implied probability reflects this decisive outcome. Late certification issues or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest remaining paths to any shift.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$98,239
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

相關

icon for Eric Barlow 會贏得2026年懷俄明州州長共和黨初選嗎？

Eric Barlow 會贏得2026年懷俄明州州長共和黨初選嗎？

81%
是
icon for 拜倫·唐納茲會成為佛羅里達州州長的共和黨提名人嗎？

拜倫·唐納茲會成為佛羅里達州州長的共和黨提名人嗎？

99%
是
icon for Ryan Fazio 是否會贏得 2026 年康乃狄克州州長共和黨初選？

Ryan Fazio 是否會贏得 2026 年康乃狄克州州長共和黨初選？

100%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·蒂芬尼" at 100%, followed by "安迪·曼斯基" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $98.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "湯姆·蒂芬尼" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安迪·曼斯基" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "威斯康辛州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.