The strong trader consensus favoring a "No" outcome at 93.5% reflects the absence of any realistic constitutional path to Trump's removal or resignation by December 31, 2026. Recent Democratic efforts, including Rep. Al Green's privileged resolution citing immigration enforcement incidents, remain symbolic given Republican House control and limited bipartisan support. No credible reports indicate health concerns, voluntary departure, or sustained 25th Amendment action. Midterm elections in November could shift House majorities, yet Senate thresholds and procedural timelines make completion of removal proceedings before year-end improbable. Traders price these structural barriers as decisive, consistent with historical patterns for short-term executive exit markets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
7% 機率
$11,608,264 交易量
$11,608,264 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 機率
$11,608,264 交易量
$11,608,264 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong trader consensus favoring a "No" outcome at 93.5% reflects the absence of any realistic constitutional path to Trump's removal or resignation by December 31, 2026. Recent Democratic efforts, including Rep. Al Green's privileged resolution citing immigration enforcement incidents, remain symbolic given Republican House control and limited bipartisan support. No credible reports indicate health concerns, voluntary departure, or sustained 25th Amendment action. Midterm elections in November could shift House majorities, yet Senate thresholds and procedural timelines make completion of removal proceedings before year-end improbable. Traders price these structural barriers as decisive, consistent with historical patterns for short-term executive exit markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
交易量
$11,608,264結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong trader consensus favoring a "No" outcome at 93.5% reflects the absence of any realistic constitutional path to Trump's removal or resignation by December 31, 2026. Recent Democratic efforts, including Rep. Al Green's privileged resolution citing immigration enforcement incidents, remain symbolic given Republican House control and limited bipartisan support. No credible reports indicate health concerns, voluntary departure, or sustained 25th Amendment action. Midterm elections in November could shift House majorities, yet Senate thresholds and procedural timelines make completion of removal proceedings before year-end improbable. Traders price these structural barriers as decisive, consistent with historical patterns for short-term executive exit markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,608,264結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETThe strong trader consensus favoring a "No" outcome at 93.5% reflects the absence of any realistic constitutional path to Trump's removal or resignation by December 31, 2026. Recent Democratic efforts, including Rep. Al Green's privileged resolution citing immigration enforcement incidents, remain symbolic given Republican House control and limited bipartisan support. No credible reports indicate health concerns, voluntary departure, or sustained 25th Amendment action. Midterm elections in November could shift House majorities, yet Senate thresholds and procedural timelines make completion of removal proceedings before year-end improbable. Traders price these structural barriers as decisive, consistent with historical patterns for short-term executive exit markets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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