The closely matched probabilities for turnout ranges around 2 million votes in Tennessee's November 3 Senate contest reflect expectations for a typical midterm cycle tempered by an open gubernatorial race. Registered voters total roughly 4.7 million, with historical Senate totals reaching 3 million in the 2024 presidential year and near 2.96 million in 2020. An open governor's seat after term limits, multiple contested congressional primaries, and recent redistricting that spurred higher Democratic primary participation in areas like Shelby County are viewed as key catalysts for elevated participation compared to standard midterms. Republican strength in the safe Hagerty-Bradshaw matchup limits overall mobilization intensity, while early voting patterns and suburban-rural dynamics sustain uncertainty across the narrowest buckets. Scheduled November balloting and any late mobilization efforts could still shift final totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.8M-2M 33.0%
2.2M-2.4M 27%
2.6M+ 13.2%
2M-2.2M 11%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
10%
1.8M-2M
24%
2M-2.2M
11%
2.2M-2.4M
27%
2.4M-2.6M
6%
2.6M+
13%
1.8M-2M 33.0%
2.2M-2.4M 27%
2.6M+ 13.2%
2M-2.2M 11%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<1.6M
$715 交易量
1%
1.6M-1.8M
$131 交易量
10%
1.8M-2M
$125 交易量
24%
2M-2.2M
$160 交易量
11%
2.2M-2.4M
$161 交易量
27%
2.4M-2.6M
$145 交易量
6%
2.6M+
$212 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities for turnout ranges around 2 million votes in Tennessee's November 3 Senate contest reflect expectations for a typical midterm cycle tempered by an open gubernatorial race. Registered voters total roughly 4.7 million, with historical Senate totals reaching 3 million in the 2024 presidential year and near 2.96 million in 2020. An open governor's seat after term limits, multiple contested congressional primaries, and recent redistricting that spurred higher Democratic primary participation in areas like Shelby County are viewed as key catalysts for elevated participation compared to standard midterms. Republican strength in the safe Hagerty-Bradshaw matchup limits overall mobilization intensity, while early voting patterns and suburban-rural dynamics sustain uncertainty across the narrowest buckets. Scheduled November balloting and any late mobilization efforts could still shift final totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
交易量
$1,649結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities for turnout ranges around 2 million votes in Tennessee's November 3 Senate contest reflect expectations for a typical midterm cycle tempered by an open gubernatorial race. Registered voters total roughly 4.7 million, with historical Senate totals reaching 3 million in the 2024 presidential year and near 2.96 million in 2020. An open governor's seat after term limits, multiple contested congressional primaries, and recent redistricting that spurred higher Democratic primary participation in areas like Shelby County are viewed as key catalysts for elevated participation compared to standard midterms. Republican strength in the safe Hagerty-Bradshaw matchup limits overall mobilization intensity, while early voting patterns and suburban-rural dynamics sustain uncertainty across the narrowest buckets. Scheduled November balloting and any late mobilization efforts could still shift final totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,649結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETThe closely matched probabilities for turnout ranges around 2 million votes in Tennessee's November 3 Senate contest reflect expectations for a typical midterm cycle tempered by an open gubernatorial race. Registered voters total roughly 4.7 million, with historical Senate totals reaching 3 million in the 2024 presidential year and near 2.96 million in 2020. An open governor's seat after term limits, multiple contested congressional primaries, and recent redistricting that spurred higher Democratic primary participation in areas like Shelby County are viewed as key catalysts for elevated participation compared to standard midterms. Republican strength in the safe Hagerty-Bradshaw matchup limits overall mobilization intensity, while early voting patterns and suburban-rural dynamics sustain uncertainty across the narrowest buckets. Scheduled November balloting and any late mobilization efforts could still shift final totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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