**The federal indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center, unsealed in April 2026 in the Middle District of Alabama, charges the organization with wire fraud, false statements to a bank, and conspiracy to commit money laundering related to its former informant program.** A superseding indictment followed in June, with a second adding a former finance director in August. The SPLC entered not-guilty pleas, moved to dismiss on vindictive-prosecution grounds, and saw that motion denied in August. Trial proceedings, initially eyed for October 2026, have been delayed until February 2027. With no verdict possible before year-end and the case still in pretrial stages, traders assign a 93.5% probability that the SPLC will not be found guilty in 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
7% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
7% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The federal indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center, unsealed in April 2026 in the Middle District of Alabama, charges the organization with wire fraud, false statements to a bank, and conspiracy to commit money laundering related to its former informant program.** A superseding indictment followed in June, with a second adding a former finance director in August. The SPLC entered not-guilty pleas, moved to dismiss on vindictive-prosecution grounds, and saw that motion denied in August. Trial proceedings, initially eyed for October 2026, have been delayed until February 2027. With no verdict possible before year-end and the case still in pretrial stages, traders assign a 93.5% probability that the SPLC will not be found guilty in 2026.
On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 22, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
交易量
$1,478結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:21 PM ETOn April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The federal indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center, unsealed in April 2026 in the Middle District of Alabama, charges the organization with wire fraud, false statements to a bank, and conspiracy to commit money laundering related to its former informant program.** A superseding indictment followed in June, with a second adding a former finance director in August. The SPLC entered not-guilty pleas, moved to dismiss on vindictive-prosecution grounds, and saw that motion denied in August. Trial proceedings, initially eyed for October 2026, have been delayed until February 2027. With no verdict possible before year-end and the case still in pretrial stages, traders assign a 93.5% probability that the SPLC will not be found guilty in 2026.
On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first official judgment rendered in this case that results in a judgment of guilt, or finally disposes of the charges without a judgment of guilt. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,478結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:21 PM ET**The federal indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center, unsealed in April 2026 in the Middle District of Alabama, charges the organization with wire fraud, false statements to a bank, and conspiracy to commit money laundering related to its former informant program.** A superseding indictment followed in June, with a second adding a former finance director in August. The SPLC entered not-guilty pleas, moved to dismiss on vindictive-prosecution grounds, and saw that motion denied in August. Trial proceedings, initially eyed for October 2026, have been delayed until February 2027. With no verdict possible before year-end and the case still in pretrial stages, traders assign a 93.5% probability that the SPLC will not be found guilty in 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions