Strong pre-release tracking and a record-shattering $360 million opening weekend established “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” as a cultural phenomenon, driving the 97% market-implied probability for a 140-150 million second frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and Tom Holland’s star power fueled sustained audience demand, mirroring historical legs for MCU tentpoles while pushing domestic totals past $650 million in just ten days. Traders see few realistic upset paths—only a sharp drop in reviews or unforeseen external events could push results below 140 million, scenarios the current momentum makes improbable before the next chart update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第2週末票房（低擊）
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第2週末票房（低擊）
1億4千萬-1億5千萬 97.0%
1.5億-1.6億 5%
1.3億-1.4億 <1%
低於1.3億 <1%
$113,185 交易量
$113,185 交易量
2026-08-09
低於1.3億
<1%
1.3億-1.4億
<1%
1億4千萬-1億5千萬
97%
1.5億-1.6億
5%
1億6千萬-1億7千萬
<1%
1億7千萬-1億8千萬
<1%
1億8千萬以上
<1%
1億4千萬-1億5千萬 97.0%
1.5億-1.6億 5%
1.3億-1.4億 <1%
低於1.3億 <1%
$113,185 交易量
$113,185 交易量
2026-08-09
低於1.3億
$5,076 交易量
<1%
1.3億-1.4億
$15,507 交易量
<1%
1億4千萬-1億5千萬
$23,103 交易量
97%
1.5億-1.6億
$26,928 交易量
5%
1億6千萬-1億7千萬
$24,259 交易量
<1%
1億7千萬-1億8千萬
$13,390 交易量
<1%
1億8千萬以上
$4,922 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking and a record-shattering $360 million opening weekend established “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” as a cultural phenomenon, driving the 97% market-implied probability for a 140-150 million second frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and Tom Holland’s star power fueled sustained audience demand, mirroring historical legs for MCU tentpoles while pushing domestic totals past $650 million in just ten days. Traders see few realistic upset paths—only a sharp drop in reviews or unforeseen external events could push results below 140 million, scenarios the current momentum makes improbable before the next chart update.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
交易量
$113,185結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking and a record-shattering $360 million opening weekend established “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” as a cultural phenomenon, driving the 97% market-implied probability for a 140-150 million second frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and Tom Holland’s star power fueled sustained audience demand, mirroring historical legs for MCU tentpoles while pushing domestic totals past $650 million in just ten days. Traders see few realistic upset paths—only a sharp drop in reviews or unforeseen external events could push results below 140 million, scenarios the current momentum makes improbable before the next chart update.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$113,185結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong pre-release tracking and a record-shattering $360 million opening weekend established “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” as a cultural phenomenon, driving the 97% market-implied probability for a 140-150 million second frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and Tom Holland’s star power fueled sustained audience demand, mirroring historical legs for MCU tentpoles while pushing domestic totals past $650 million in just ten days. Traders see few realistic upset paths—only a sharp drop in reviews or unforeseen external events could push results below 140 million, scenarios the current momentum makes improbable before the next chart update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions