Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sub-$180 million second weekend, reflecting the front-loaded nature of tentpole superhero releases and typical sharp declines after massive debuts. Strong critical and audience reception, plus rapid global momentum past $1.1 billion, supported the historic launch, yet comparable MCU and franchise films often see 50% or steeper drops in week two amid competition from titles like The Odyssey. With the current frame already underway and tracking in the mid-$100 million range, the market-implied odds capture broad agreement on limited legs. An upset into higher brackets would require exceptional word-of-mouth retention or unusually soft competition to push totals above 180 million.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.6%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億-2.1億 <1%
$58,184 交易量
$58,184 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
100%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬
<1%
190-200m
<1%
2億-2.1億
<1%
2億1千萬-2億2千萬
<1%
2.2億以上
<1%
<180m 99.6%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億-2.1億 <1%
$58,184 交易量
$58,184 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
$38,806 交易量
100%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬
$5,434 交易量
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 交易量
<1%
2億-2.1億
$1,936 交易量
<1%
2億1千萬-2億2千萬
$3,503 交易量
<1%
2.2億以上
$4,495 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sub-$180 million second weekend, reflecting the front-loaded nature of tentpole superhero releases and typical sharp declines after massive debuts. Strong critical and audience reception, plus rapid global momentum past $1.1 billion, supported the historic launch, yet comparable MCU and franchise films often see 50% or steeper drops in week two amid competition from titles like The Odyssey. With the current frame already underway and tracking in the mid-$100 million range, the market-implied odds capture broad agreement on limited legs. An upset into higher brackets would require exceptional word-of-mouth retention or unusually soft competition to push totals above 180 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$58,184結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sub-$180 million second weekend, reflecting the front-loaded nature of tentpole superhero releases and typical sharp declines after massive debuts. Strong critical and audience reception, plus rapid global momentum past $1.1 billion, supported the historic launch, yet comparable MCU and franchise films often see 50% or steeper drops in week two amid competition from titles like The Odyssey. With the current frame already underway and tracking in the mid-$100 million range, the market-implied odds capture broad agreement on limited legs. An upset into higher brackets would require exceptional word-of-mouth retention or unusually soft competition to push totals above 180 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$58,184結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sub-$180 million second weekend, reflecting the front-loaded nature of tentpole superhero releases and typical sharp declines after massive debuts. Strong critical and audience reception, plus rapid global momentum past $1.1 billion, supported the historic launch, yet comparable MCU and franchise films often see 50% or steeper drops in week two amid competition from titles like The Odyssey. With the current frame already underway and tracking in the mid-$100 million range, the market-implied odds capture broad agreement on limited legs. An upset into higher brackets would require exceptional word-of-mouth retention or unusually soft competition to push totals above 180 million.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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