Recent polling trends position the CDU for roughly 21-22 seats in the 83-seat Landtag. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA show the party at 22-23% support, down sharply from its 37% result in 2021, while the AfD holds steady near 41-43%. These vote shares translate directly into the 20-22 seat band once smaller parties near or below the 5% threshold are accounted for. The election on 6 September leaves little time for further movement, and traders have aligned with these consistent projections rather than earlier expectations of a stronger CDU performance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於20-22 61%
17-19 35%
23-25 13%
26+ 7%
小於17
5%
17-19
35%
20-22
61%
23-25
27%
26+
7%
20-22 61%
17-19 35%
23-25 13%
26+ 7%
小於17
5%
17-19
35%
20-22
61%
23-25
27%
26+
7%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Recent polling trends position the CDU for roughly 21-22 seats in the 83-seat Landtag. Multiple late-August and early-September surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA show the party at 22-23% support, down sharply from its 37% result in 2021, while the AfD holds steady near 41-43%. These vote shares translate directly into the 20-22 seat band once smaller parties near or below the 5% threshold are accounted for. The election on 6 September leaves little time for further movement, and traders have aligned with these consistent projections rather than earlier expectations of a stronger CDU performance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions