Strong trader consensus on an opening weekend below $6 million for the Universal romantic comedy "One Night Only" stems primarily from its modest $2.81 million Friday debut across 3,012 theaters and muted pre-release tracking in a crowded August marketplace. Mixed critical reception (47% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited marketing momentum have kept presales and social buzz subdued, while competition from holdover titles like Spider-Man further caps audience interest. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget releases without major stars or franchise appeal in this slot reinforce expectations of single-digit totals. An upset into the $7 million-plus range would require exceptional word-of-mouth or a surprise surge in Saturday and Sunday attendance that defies current daily trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《One Night Only》周末首映票房
《One Night Only》周末首映票房
<6m 98.0%
6-7m 2.0%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$25,327 交易量
$25,327 交易量
2026-08-09
<6m
98%
6-7m
2%
7-8m
1%
8-9m
<1%
九百萬以上
<1%
<6m 98.0%
6-7m 2.0%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$25,327 交易量
$25,327 交易量
2026-08-09
<6m
$11,460 交易量
98%
6-7m
$1,482 交易量
2%
7-8m
$1,430 交易量
1%
8-9m
$3,669 交易量
<1%
九百萬以上
$7,286 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong trader consensus on an opening weekend below $6 million for the Universal romantic comedy "One Night Only" stems primarily from its modest $2.81 million Friday debut across 3,012 theaters and muted pre-release tracking in a crowded August marketplace. Mixed critical reception (47% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited marketing momentum have kept presales and social buzz subdued, while competition from holdover titles like Spider-Man further caps audience interest. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget releases without major stars or franchise appeal in this slot reinforce expectations of single-digit totals. An upset into the $7 million-plus range would require exceptional word-of-mouth or a surprise surge in Saturday and Sunday attendance that defies current daily trends.
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
交易量
$25,327結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong trader consensus on an opening weekend below $6 million for the Universal romantic comedy "One Night Only" stems primarily from its modest $2.81 million Friday debut across 3,012 theaters and muted pre-release tracking in a crowded August marketplace. Mixed critical reception (47% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited marketing momentum have kept presales and social buzz subdued, while competition from holdover titles like Spider-Man further caps audience interest. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget releases without major stars or franchise appeal in this slot reinforce expectations of single-digit totals. An upset into the $7 million-plus range would require exceptional word-of-mouth or a surprise surge in Saturday and Sunday attendance that defies current daily trends.
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$25,327結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus on an opening weekend below $6 million for the Universal romantic comedy "One Night Only" stems primarily from its modest $2.81 million Friday debut across 3,012 theaters and muted pre-release tracking in a crowded August marketplace. Mixed critical reception (47% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited marketing momentum have kept presales and social buzz subdued, while competition from holdover titles like Spider-Man further caps audience interest. Historical patterns for similar mid-budget releases without major stars or franchise appeal in this slot reinforce expectations of single-digit totals. An upset into the $7 million-plus range would require exceptional word-of-mouth or a surprise surge in Saturday and Sunday attendance that defies current daily trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions