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icon for NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者
政治·中期

NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者

icon for NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者
政治·中期

NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新

斯蒂芬妮·沙欣（民主黨）

$6,073 交易量

89%

安東尼·迪洛倫佐（共和黨）

$3,482 交易量

12%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Stefany Shaheen holds a strong lead in the NH-01 general election market following her narrow Democratic primary victory on September 8, 2026.** The open seat, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, is rated Lean or Likely Democratic by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s recent performance where Kamala Harris carried it by roughly two points in 2024. Shaheen, a former Portsmouth city councilor and health care entrepreneur with high name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, consolidated support after a competitive primary against Maura Sullivan and others. Anthony DiLorenzo, a businessman who secured the Republican nomination with former President Trump’s endorsement, faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in over a decade. Higher Democratic primary turnout and the seat’s partisan baseline underpin trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,555
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Stefany Shaheen holds a strong lead in the NH-01 general election market following her narrow Democratic primary victory on September 8, 2026.** The open seat, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, is rated Lean or Likely Democratic by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s recent performance where Kamala Harris carried it by roughly two points in 2024. Shaheen, a former Portsmouth city councilor and health care entrepreneur with high name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, consolidated support after a competitive primary against Maura Sullivan and others. Anthony DiLorenzo, a businessman who secured the Republican nomination with former President Trump’s endorsement, faces structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican to the House in over a decade. Higher Democratic primary turnout and the seat’s partisan baseline underpin trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,555
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "斯蒂芬妮·沙欣（民主黨）" at 89%, followed by "安東尼·迪洛倫佐（共和黨）" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 16, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者" is "斯蒂芬妮·沙欣（民主黨）" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安東尼·迪洛倫佐（共和黨）" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-01眾議院選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.