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icon for 南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名

icon for 南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名
政治·巴西

南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名

卡皮唐·孔塔爾 53%

羅伯托·大城 19%

瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭 19%

Luiz Lemes 19%

Polymarket
最新

卡皮唐·孔塔爾 53%

羅伯托·大城 19%

瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭 19%

Luiz Lemes 19%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 卡皮唐·孔塔爾

卡皮唐·孔塔爾

$339 交易量

53%

icon for 羅伯托·大城

羅伯托·大城

$44 交易量

19%

icon for 瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭

瓦爾特·達·科馬格蘭

$44 交易量

19%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$44 交易量

19%

icon for 范德·盧貝特

范德·盧貝特

$44 交易量

19%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$44 交易量

18%

icon for 雷納爾多·阿桑布賈

雷納爾多·阿桑布賈

$44 交易量

14%

icon for 索拉婭

索拉婭

$44 交易量

8%

icon for 丹尼爾·朱尼奧

丹尼爾·朱尼奧

$44 交易量

6%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$44 交易量

5%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August 2026 polls show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading Senate voting intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul at 30-38%, positioning Capitão Contar (PL) as the clearest contender for second place with 19-25% support, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and others in single digits or low teens. The PL's internal selection process in July, backed by national party leadership and Bolsonaro endorsements for both Azambuja and Contar, has consolidated right-leaning votes behind these two candidates. With voter preferences split across multiple names and no major endorsements, debates, or shifts reported in the past two weeks, traders view the second-place outcome as closely contested. Upcoming campaign events or late polling movements could widen or narrow the gap among trailing contenders before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$734
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August 2026 polls show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading Senate voting intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul at 30-38%, positioning Capitão Contar (PL) as the clearest contender for second place with 19-25% support, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and others in single digits or low teens. The PL's internal selection process in July, backed by national party leadership and Bolsonaro endorsements for both Azambuja and Contar, has consolidated right-leaning votes behind these two candidates. With voter preferences split across multiple names and no major endorsements, debates, or shifts reported in the past two weeks, traders view the second-place outcome as closely contested. Upcoming campaign events or late polling movements could widen or narrow the gap among trailing contenders before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$734
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "卡皮唐·孔塔爾" at 53%, followed by "羅伯托·大城" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名" is "卡皮唐·孔塔爾" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "羅伯托·大城" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南馬託格羅索州參議院選舉：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.