Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日上海最低溫度？
7月25日上海最低溫度？
29°C 91%
28°C 7%
27°C 3%
26°C <1%
最新
$13,397 交易量
最新
$13,397 交易量
2026-07-25
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
91%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
29°C 91%
28°C 7%
27°C 3%
26°C <1%
最新
$13,397 交易量
最新
$13,397 交易量
2026-07-25
23°C或以下
$410 交易量
<1%
24°C
$515 交易量
<1%
25°C
$592 交易量
<1%
26°C
$962 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,765 交易量
3%
28°C
$3,259 交易量
7%
29°C
$3,515 交易量
91%
30°C
$915 交易量
<1%
31°C
$785 交易量
<1%
32°C
$387 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$291 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$13,397結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,397結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions