Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
7月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
19°C 34%
20°C 31%
21°C 17%
18°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
13%
19°C
34%
20°C
31%
21°C
17%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 34%
20°C 31%
21°C 17%
18°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
14°C or below
$1,562 交易量
<1%
15°C
$508 交易量
1%
16°C
$216 交易量
2%
17°C
$219 交易量
4%
18°C
$345 交易量
13%
19°C
$452 交易量
34%
20°C
$449 交易量
31%
21°C
$328 交易量
17%
22°C
$1,312 交易量
7%
23°C
$73 交易量
1%
24°C or higher
$201 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$5,665結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,665結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions