Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicates a warming trend into July 25 under building high pressure, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring daytime heating. Current model consensus points to a maximum near 28–30 °C at Munich’s urban stations, though spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud development keeps 29–31 °C outcomes closely matched in the market. Official DWD observations through July 22–23 show daytime peaks climbing from the low 20s °C, consistent with the expected ridge amplification. Key resolution variables include exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and any late-day convective cooling that could cap the reading below 30 °C or allow brief excursions to 32 °C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日慕尼黑最高溫度？
7月25日慕尼黑最高溫度？
31°C 44%
30°C 39%
32°C 12%
29°C 7%
最新
$10,810 交易量
最新
$10,810 交易量
2026-07-25
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
39%
31°C
44%
32°C
12%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 39%
32°C 12%
29°C 7%
最新
$10,810 交易量
最新
$10,810 交易量
2026-07-25
26°C or below
$2,036 交易量
<1%
27°C
$330 交易量
1%
28°C
$259 交易量
1%
29°C
$1,217 交易量
7%
30°C
$616 交易量
39%
31°C
$2,217 交易量
44%
32°C
$2,994 交易量
12%
33°C
$675 交易量
1%
34°C
$196 交易量
<1%
35°C
$181 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$90 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicates a warming trend into July 25 under building high pressure, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring daytime heating. Current model consensus points to a maximum near 28–30 °C at Munich’s urban stations, though spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud development keeps 29–31 °C outcomes closely matched in the market. Official DWD observations through July 22–23 show daytime peaks climbing from the low 20s °C, consistent with the expected ridge amplification. Key resolution variables include exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and any late-day convective cooling that could cap the reading below 30 °C or allow brief excursions to 32 °C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$10,810結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicates a warming trend into July 25 under building high pressure, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring daytime heating. Current model consensus points to a maximum near 28–30 °C at Munich’s urban stations, though spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud development keeps 29–31 °C outcomes closely matched in the market. Official DWD observations through July 22–23 show daytime peaks climbing from the low 20s °C, consistent with the expected ridge amplification. Key resolution variables include exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and any late-day convective cooling that could cap the reading below 30 °C or allow brief excursions to 32 °C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,810結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models indicates a warming trend into July 25 under building high pressure, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring daytime heating. Current model consensus points to a maximum near 28–30 °C at Munich’s urban stations, though spread in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud development keeps 29–31 °C outcomes closely matched in the market. Official DWD observations through July 22–23 show daytime peaks climbing from the low 20s °C, consistent with the expected ridge amplification. Key resolution variables include exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and any late-day convective cooling that could cap the reading below 30 °C or allow brief excursions to 32 °C. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions