**Shanghai's typical July overnight lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling.** With the plum rainy season recently concluded, clearer skies and reduced daytime cloud cover can allow modest nighttime temperature drops, while elevated moisture levels and urban heat island effects often keep minimums from falling much below 27°C. Forecast models for July 26, 2026, show consensus around these values, with subtle differences driven by expected wind patterns, any lingering shower activity, and the precise timing of peak cooling after sunset. Elevated typhoon risk this month introduces potential for increased cloud cover or rain, which would suppress radiative losses and favor the higher end of the 27–29°C range. Trader sentiment clusters tightly because ensemble guidance remains closely aligned on these thresholds, with minor model spreads determining whether the low settles at 27°C, 28°C, or 29°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月26日上海最低溫度?
28°C 34%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
25°C 6%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
25%
28°C
34%
29°C
20%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 34%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
25°C 6%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
5%
27°C
25%
28°C
34%
29°C
20%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Shanghai's typical July overnight lows hover near 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling.** With the plum rainy season recently concluded, clearer skies and reduced daytime cloud cover can allow modest nighttime temperature drops, while elevated moisture levels and urban heat island effects often keep minimums from falling much below 27°C. Forecast models for July 26, 2026, show consensus around these values, with subtle differences driven by expected wind patterns, any lingering shower activity, and the precise timing of peak cooling after sunset. Elevated typhoon risk this month introduces potential for increased cloud cover or rain, which would suppress radiative losses and favor the higher end of the 27–29°C range. Trader sentiment clusters tightly because ensemble guidance remains closely aligned on these thresholds, with minor model spreads determining whether the low settles at 27°C, 28°C, or 29°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions