Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on July 26 will likely settle near 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-July conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Cloudy skies and light winds expected through the weekend further limit temperature drops, while nearby model runs show minor variations around 23–26°C tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds near the historical July nighttime baseline of 23–25°C, with traders weighing short-term forecast updates against the narrow range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月26日東京最低溫度？
7月26日東京最低溫度？
25°C 45%
24°C 34%
27°C 15%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
34%
25°C
45%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 45%
24°C 34%
27°C 15%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
20°C或以下
$52 交易量
<1%
21°C
$28 交易量
2%
22°C
$10 交易量
4%
23°C
$10 交易量
9%
24°C
$119 交易量
34%
25°C
$29 交易量
45%
26°C
$141 交易量
4%
27°C
$6 交易量
9%
28°C
$305 交易量
4%
29°C
$58 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$74 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on July 26 will likely settle near 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-July conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Cloudy skies and light winds expected through the weekend further limit temperature drops, while nearby model runs show minor variations around 23–26°C tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds near the historical July nighttime baseline of 23–25°C, with traders weighing short-term forecast updates against the narrow range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$831結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on July 26 will likely settle near 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-July conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Cloudy skies and light winds expected through the weekend further limit temperature drops, while nearby model runs show minor variations around 23–26°C tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds near the historical July nighttime baseline of 23–25°C, with traders weighing short-term forecast updates against the narrow range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$831結束日期
2026-07-26市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on July 26 will likely settle near 24–25°C, reflecting typical late-July conditions with high humidity suppressing radiative cooling and the urban heat island effect retaining warmth overnight. Cloudy skies and light winds expected through the weekend further limit temperature drops, while nearby model runs show minor variations around 23–26°C tied to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. These factors create tight clustering in market-implied odds near the historical July nighttime baseline of 23–25°C, with traders weighing short-term forecast updates against the narrow range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions