Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月27日東京最低溫度？
7月27日東京最低溫度？
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,266 交易量
$19,266 交易量
2026-07-27
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,266 交易量
$19,266 交易量
2026-07-27
19°C或以下
$307 交易量
否
20°C
$400 交易量
否
21°C
$549 交易量
否
22°C
$631 交易量
否
23°C
$983 交易量
否
24°C
$3,113 交易量
是
25°C
$9,759 交易量
否
26°C
$1,557 交易量
否
27°C
$546 交易量
否
28°C
$877 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$546 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$19,266結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,266結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy July 27 with potential scattered showers amid an ongoing regional heatwave, supporting trader focus on 24–26°C lows as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure has elevated nighttime temperatures above the typical 23–24°C July baseline, yet increased cloud cover and humidity are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Model consensus highlights steering patterns that may introduce modest relief compared to peak heat days, while urban heat island effects sustain warmer readings. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift sentiment among the tightly bunched leading probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions