Current forecasts from regional models indicate a mild winter day in São Paulo, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 23–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader consensus clustering around 24 °C reflects the latest ensemble guidance showing a weak high-pressure ridge limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cold-air advection from the south. Key variables separating the leading outcomes include morning cloud cover that could suppress the high by 1–2 °C versus clearer conditions allowing brief solar warming toward 25 °C, alongside surface humidity and boundary-layer mixing. Official observations from INMET and updated model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月26日聖保羅的最高溫度?
26°C or higher 42%
25°C 31%
24°C 21%
23°C 11%
$10,674 交易量
$10,674 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
42%
26°C or higher 42%
25°C 31%
24°C 21%
23°C 11%
$10,674 交易量
$10,674 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from regional models indicate a mild winter day in São Paulo, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 23–25 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader consensus clustering around 24 °C reflects the latest ensemble guidance showing a weak high-pressure ridge limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cold-air advection from the south. Key variables separating the leading outcomes include morning cloud cover that could suppress the high by 1–2 °C versus clearer conditions allowing brief solar warming toward 25 °C, alongside surface humidity and boundary-layer mixing. Official observations from INMET and updated model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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