Skip to main content

如需在美國交易,請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 卡許·帕特爾在… ?

卡許·帕特爾在… ?

icon for 卡許·帕特爾在… ?

卡許·帕特爾在… ?

$1,723,573 交易量

2026-09-30
Polymarket

$1,723,573 交易量

Polymarket

September 30

$6,594 交易量

2%

12月31日

$375,301 交易量

23%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FBI Director Kash Patel, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 to a 10-year term, remains in office amid sustained Democratic criticism over personnel decisions, including the departure of more than 1,100 special agents in 2025 and firings tied to prior Trump-related investigations. Lawmakers have highlighted his travel practices, a May 2026 Senate exchange on alleged excessive drinking (which Patel denied), and probes involving 2020 election matters, with Sen. Dick Durbin calling for his replacement. A Senate Judiciary Committee oversight hearing scheduled for September 16, 2026, is expected to focus on these issues and recent staff changes. Republicans emphasize violent crime reductions reported in 2025 bureau data and alignment with administration priorities. These oversight pressures and internal bureau turnover shape trader assessments of removal timing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,723,573
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FBI Director Kash Patel, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 to a 10-year term, remains in office amid sustained Democratic criticism over personnel decisions, including the departure of more than 1,100 special agents in 2025 and firings tied to prior Trump-related investigations. Lawmakers have highlighted his travel practices, a May 2026 Senate exchange on alleged excessive drinking (which Patel denied), and probes involving 2020 election matters, with Sen. Dick Durbin calling for his replacement. A Senate Judiciary Committee oversight hearing scheduled for September 16, 2026, is expected to focus on these issues and recent staff changes. Republicans emphasize violent crime reductions reported in 2025 bureau data and alignment with administration priorities. These oversight pressures and internal bureau turnover shape trader assessments of removal timing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,723,573
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"卡許·帕特爾在… ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 23%, followed by "September 30" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "卡許·帕特爾在… ?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "卡許·帕特爾在… ?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "卡許·帕特爾在… ?" is "12月31日" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "卡許·帕特爾在… ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.