Recent Florida Republican primary results confirming James Fishback at 10.5% of the vote have anchored trader consensus on the 10–15% outcome. The long-shot populist candidate faced structural headwinds including limited fundraising relative to Byron Donalds and Jay Collins, party exclusion from sanctioned debates over controversial rhetoric, and legal challenges to ballot eligibility that ultimately failed. Pre-primary polling aggregates consistently placed Fishback in the low-to-mid teens amid stronger establishment momentum for Donalds following the Trump endorsement. While final certified tallies or any narrow recount could theoretically shift the exact share, current verified county-level data leave little room for movement outside the prevailing bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於費什巴克 10–15% 98.8%
Fishback 25–30% 1.0%
費什巴克30%+ <1%
Fishback 少於 10% <1%
$344,202 交易量
$344,202 交易量
2026-08-18
Fishback 少於 10%
<1%
費什巴克 10–15%
99%
費什貝克 15–20%
<1%
Fishback 20–25%
<1%
Fishback 25–30%
1%
費什巴克30%+
<1%
費什巴克 10–15% 98.8%
Fishback 25–30% 1.0%
費什巴克30%+ <1%
Fishback 少於 10% <1%
$344,202 交易量
$344,202 交易量
2026-08-18
Fishback 少於 10%
$249,783 交易量
<1%
費什巴克 10–15%
$24,477 交易量
99%
費什貝克 15–20%
$13,551 交易量
<1%
Fishback 20–25%
$17,341 交易量
<1%
Fishback 25–30%
$10,466 交易量
1%
費什巴克30%+
$28,583 交易量
<1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent Florida Republican primary results confirming James Fishback at 10.5% of the vote have anchored trader consensus on the 10–15% outcome. The long-shot populist candidate faced structural headwinds including limited fundraising relative to Byron Donalds and Jay Collins, party exclusion from sanctioned debates over controversial rhetoric, and legal challenges to ballot eligibility that ultimately failed. Pre-primary polling aggregates consistently placed Fishback in the low-to-mid teens amid stronger establishment momentum for Donalds following the Trump endorsement. While final certified tallies or any narrow recount could theoretically shift the exact share, current verified county-level data leave little room for movement outside the prevailing bin.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$344,202結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent Florida Republican primary results confirming James Fishback at 10.5% of the vote have anchored trader consensus on the 10–15% outcome. The long-shot populist candidate faced structural headwinds including limited fundraising relative to Byron Donalds and Jay Collins, party exclusion from sanctioned debates over controversial rhetoric, and legal challenges to ballot eligibility that ultimately failed. Pre-primary polling aggregates consistently placed Fishback in the low-to-mid teens amid stronger establishment momentum for Donalds following the Trump endorsement. While final certified tallies or any narrow recount could theoretically shift the exact share, current verified county-level data leave little room for movement outside the prevailing bin.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$344,202結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Florida Republican primary results confirming James Fishback at 10.5% of the vote have anchored trader consensus on the 10–15% outcome. The long-shot populist candidate faced structural headwinds including limited fundraising relative to Byron Donalds and Jay Collins, party exclusion from sanctioned debates over controversial rhetoric, and legal challenges to ballot eligibility that ultimately failed. Pre-primary polling aggregates consistently placed Fishback in the low-to-mid teens amid stronger establishment momentum for Donalds following the Trump endorsement. While final certified tallies or any narrow recount could theoretically shift the exact share, current verified county-level data leave little room for movement outside the prevailing bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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