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icon for 愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率
政治·道岔

愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率

icon for 愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率
政治·道岔

愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率

1.35M-1.4M 45%

1.4M-1.45M 27%

1.3M-1.35M 14%

1.25M-1.3M 12%

Polymarket
最新

1.35M-1.4M 45%

1.4M-1.45M 27%

1.3M-1.35M 14%

1.25M-1.3M 12%

Polymarket
最新

<1.2M

$148 交易量

1%

1.2M-1.25M

$148 交易量

5%

1.25M-1.3M

$183 交易量

12%

1.3M-1.35M

$215 交易量

14%

1.35M-1.4M

$364 交易量

45%

1.4M-1.45M

$650 交易量

27%

1.45M-1.5M

$211 交易量

3%

1.5M-1.55M

$154 交易量

5%

1.55M-1.6M

$323 交易量

2%

1.6M+

$148 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive Iowa Senate contest between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by multiple forecasters, centers trader expectations on the 1.35M–1.45M turnout range. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly 2 points among likely voters, while earlier surveys indicated even tighter or slight Democratic leads, sustaining high mobilization on both sides ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following Joni Ernst’s retirement has amplified attention and fundraising, with Democrats citing strong special-election results in the state as evidence of base enthusiasm that could lift participation above typical midterm levels. Historical patterns in competitive Iowa federal races, combined with ongoing early-voting and absentee-ballot activity, support the current pricing as reflecting elevated but not record turnout driven by the race’s closeness.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,545
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive Iowa Senate contest between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by multiple forecasters, centers trader expectations on the 1.35M–1.45M turnout range. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly 2 points among likely voters, while earlier surveys indicated even tighter or slight Democratic leads, sustaining high mobilization on both sides ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following Joni Ernst’s retirement has amplified attention and fundraising, with Democrats citing strong special-election results in the state as evidence of base enthusiasm that could lift participation above typical midterm levels. Historical patterns in competitive Iowa federal races, combined with ongoing early-voting and absentee-ballot activity, support the current pricing as reflecting elevated but not record turnout driven by the race’s closeness.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,545
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1.35M-1.4M" at 45%, followed by "1.4M-1.45M" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率" is "1.35M-1.4M" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1.4M-1.45M" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "愛荷華州參議員選舉：投票率" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.