IAEA access to Iran’s key enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained blocked since the 2025 conflict and subsequent 2026 strikes, preventing verification of uranium stockpiles believed concentrated at Isfahan’s tunnel complex. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly provides for IAEA supervision of nuclear material activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections “will indeed take place” with modalities under discussion. Iranian officials have conditioned any visits to damaged sites on a final agreement and sanctions relief, creating uncertainty around timelines. Ongoing bilateral talks and potential deadlines within resolution windows remain the primary variables for trader assessments of near-term access.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$363,800 交易量
2026-12-31
8月31日
1%
10月31日
6%
12月31日
13%
$363,800 交易量
8月31日
$57,346 交易量
1%
10月31日
$80,745 交易量
6%
12月31日
$32,385 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran’s key enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained blocked since the 2025 conflict and subsequent 2026 strikes, preventing verification of uranium stockpiles believed concentrated at Isfahan’s tunnel complex. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly provides for IAEA supervision of nuclear material activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections “will indeed take place” with modalities under discussion. Iranian officials have conditioned any visits to damaged sites on a final agreement and sanctions relief, creating uncertainty around timelines. Ongoing bilateral talks and potential deadlines within resolution windows remain the primary variables for trader assessments of near-term access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$363,800結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran’s key enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained blocked since the 2025 conflict and subsequent 2026 strikes, preventing verification of uranium stockpiles believed concentrated at Isfahan’s tunnel complex. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly provides for IAEA supervision of nuclear material activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections “will indeed take place” with modalities under discussion. Iranian officials have conditioned any visits to damaged sites on a final agreement and sanctions relief, creating uncertainty around timelines. Ongoing bilateral talks and potential deadlines within resolution windows remain the primary variables for trader assessments of near-term access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$363,800結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran’s key enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained blocked since the 2025 conflict and subsequent 2026 strikes, preventing verification of uranium stockpiles believed concentrated at Isfahan’s tunnel complex. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly provides for IAEA supervision of nuclear material activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections “will indeed take place” with modalities under discussion. Iranian officials have conditioned any visits to damaged sites on a final agreement and sanctions relief, creating uncertainty around timelines. Ongoing bilateral talks and potential deadlines within resolution windows remain the primary variables for trader assessments of near-term access.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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