NASA's Artemis program has shifted its first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028 after completing only a flyby with Artemis II's successful April 2026 Orion flight aboard the SLS rocket. No commercial or international provider has announced a viable 2026 surface attempt, and the remaining months in the year preclude integration of untested human landing systems or additional deep-space demonstrations. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these verified timeline adjustments and hardware maturation needs, though an unforeseen private-sector breakthrough or accelerated regulatory approval could theoretically compress schedules despite historical delays in crewed lunar operations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
<1% 機率
$1,967,488 交易量
$1,967,488 交易量
2026-12-31
是
<1% 機率
$1,967,488 交易量
$1,967,488 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.NASA's Artemis program has shifted its first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028 after completing only a flyby with Artemis II's successful April 2026 Orion flight aboard the SLS rocket. No commercial or international provider has announced a viable 2026 surface attempt, and the remaining months in the year preclude integration of untested human landing systems or additional deep-space demonstrations. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these verified timeline adjustments and hardware maturation needs, though an unforeseen private-sector breakthrough or accelerated regulatory approval could theoretically compress schedules despite historical delays in crewed lunar operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,967,488結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.NASA's Artemis program has shifted its first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028 after completing only a flyby with Artemis II's successful April 2026 Orion flight aboard the SLS rocket. No commercial or international provider has announced a viable 2026 surface attempt, and the remaining months in the year preclude integration of untested human landing systems or additional deep-space demonstrations. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these verified timeline adjustments and hardware maturation needs, though an unforeseen private-sector breakthrough or accelerated regulatory approval could theoretically compress schedules despite historical delays in crewed lunar operations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,967,488結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NASA's Artemis program has shifted its first crewed lunar landing to Artemis IV in 2028 after completing only a flyby with Artemis II's successful April 2026 Orion flight aboard the SLS rocket. No commercial or international provider has announced a viable 2026 surface attempt, and the remaining months in the year preclude integration of untested human landing systems or additional deep-space demonstrations. Trader consensus at 99.1% reflects these verified timeline adjustments and hardware maturation needs, though an unforeseen private-sector breakthrough or accelerated regulatory approval could theoretically compress schedules despite historical delays in crewed lunar operations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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