Trader consensus on the Polymarket market heavily favors 1-100 Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 81.2 percent, driven by the program's slow rollout since its December 2025 launch. Official reports through May 2026 showed just one approval, 338 applications submitted, and only 165 individuals paying the $15,000 processing fee, with hundreds more queued amid extended national security and background vetting by the Departments of Commerce, Homeland Security, and State. The $1 million individual or $2 million corporate gift requirement, combined with EB-1/EB-2 eligibility standards and revocation risks for security concerns, has limited uptake despite earlier administration claims of rapid revenue. No significant acceleration in approvals or policy adjustments has been confirmed through mid-2026, keeping expectations for full-year volume low while acknowledging that final processing timelines could still influence totals before December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1-100 82.2%
101-1千 7.3%
>100,000 4.8%
1千至2千5百 3.5%
$290,274 交易量
$290,274 交易量
1-100
82%
101-1千
7%
1千至2千5百
4%
2,500-5,000
2%
5千-1萬
1%
一萬到兩萬五千
2%
25,000-100,000
1%
>100,000
5%
1-100 82.2%
101-1千 7.3%
>100,000 4.8%
1千至2千5百 3.5%
$290,274 交易量
$290,274 交易量
1-100
82%
101-1千
7%
1千至2千5百
4%
2,500-5,000
2%
5千-1萬
1%
一萬到兩萬五千
2%
25,000-100,000
1%
>100,000
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Polymarket market heavily favors 1-100 Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 81.2 percent, driven by the program's slow rollout since its December 2025 launch. Official reports through May 2026 showed just one approval, 338 applications submitted, and only 165 individuals paying the $15,000 processing fee, with hundreds more queued amid extended national security and background vetting by the Departments of Commerce, Homeland Security, and State. The $1 million individual or $2 million corporate gift requirement, combined with EB-1/EB-2 eligibility standards and revocation risks for security concerns, has limited uptake despite earlier administration claims of rapid revenue. No significant acceleration in approvals or policy adjustments has been confirmed through mid-2026, keeping expectations for full-year volume low while acknowledging that final processing timelines could still influence totals before December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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