Recent frontal systems and associated cloud cover over southeastern Brazil have suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of July 25, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal July averages of 22°C. Official model guidance diverges on the timing of any clearing: persistent low-level moisture and light southerly flow favor highs of 20–21°C if skies remain mostly overcast, while partial breaks in cloudiness could allow greater insolation and push readings to 22°C. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add minor variability, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds (centered on 20–22°C) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any single dominant driver. Updated model runs and INMET observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日聖保羅的最高溫度？
7月25日聖保羅的最高溫度？
22°C 41%
21°C 31%
20°C 12%
23°C 11%
最新
$16,617 交易量
最新
$16,617 交易量
2026-07-25
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
31%
22°C
41%
23°C
11%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
21°C 31%
20°C 12%
23°C 11%
最新
$16,617 交易量
最新
$16,617 交易量
2026-07-25
16°C or below
$1,968 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,221 交易量
<1%
18°C
$706 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,353 交易量
2%
20°C
$1,142 交易量
12%
21°C
$2,774 交易量
31%
22°C
$2,011 交易量
41%
23°C
$1,778 交易量
11%
24°C
$1,800 交易量
2%
25°C
$1,259 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$605 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent frontal systems and associated cloud cover over southeastern Brazil have suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of July 25, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal July averages of 22°C. Official model guidance diverges on the timing of any clearing: persistent low-level moisture and light southerly flow favor highs of 20–21°C if skies remain mostly overcast, while partial breaks in cloudiness could allow greater insolation and push readings to 22°C. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add minor variability, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds (centered on 20–22°C) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any single dominant driver. Updated model runs and INMET observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$16,617結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent frontal systems and associated cloud cover over southeastern Brazil have suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of July 25, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal July averages of 22°C. Official model guidance diverges on the timing of any clearing: persistent low-level moisture and light southerly flow favor highs of 20–21°C if skies remain mostly overcast, while partial breaks in cloudiness could allow greater insolation and push readings to 22°C. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add minor variability, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds (centered on 20–22°C) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any single dominant driver. Updated model runs and INMET observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,617結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent frontal systems and associated cloud cover over southeastern Brazil have suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of July 25, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal July averages of 22°C. Official model guidance diverges on the timing of any clearing: persistent low-level moisture and light southerly flow favor highs of 20–21°C if skies remain mostly overcast, while partial breaks in cloudiness could allow greater insolation and push readings to 22°C. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add minor variability, but the narrow spread in market-implied odds (centered on 20–22°C) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing rather than any single dominant driver. Updated model runs and INMET observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions