Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Milan of 24–26°C on August 20, driven by increased cloud cover, thundery showers, and a moderating Atlantic high-pressure pattern that limits daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 27–30°C averages but reflect recent model consensus on localized instability and higher humidity suppressing peaks. Trader positioning around 25°C (41% implied probability) reflects this forecast spread and uncertainty in exact maximum timing, with lower odds for 27°C+ underscoring the low likelihood of clear-sky intensification. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日米蘭的最高溫度?
25°C 42%
24°C 30%
26°C 28%
23°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
30%
25°C
42%
26°C
28%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
24°C 30%
26°C 28%
23°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
30%
25°C
42%
26°C
28%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a highest temperature in Milan of 24–26°C on August 20, driven by increased cloud cover, thundery showers, and a moderating Atlantic high-pressure pattern that limits daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with mid-August climatology of 27–30°C averages but reflect recent model consensus on localized instability and higher humidity suppressing peaks. Trader positioning around 25°C (41% implied probability) reflects this forecast spread and uncertainty in exact maximum timing, with lower odds for 27°C+ underscoring the low likelihood of clear-sky intensification. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions