Current forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high of 26°C in Munich on August 20, reflecting the market's leading 31% implied probability for that exact outcome amid a spread across 25–27°C. This positioning stems from mid-August synoptic patterns featuring a transitioning Atlantic ridge that supports moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, tempered by expected thundery showers that cap peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in Bavaria shows mean highs near 23–25°C with high interannual variability driven by North Atlantic Oscillation influences and local orographic effects from the Alps. Model consensus remains moderate given the 48-hour horizon, with potential shifts from updated runs on frontal timing or convective intensity likely to influence final resolution near the 25–27°C thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月20日慕尼黑最高溫度？
26°C 31%
27°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
14%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
21%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 31%
27°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C or below
$215 交易量
<1%
21°C
$81 交易量
1%
22°C
$157 交易量
4%
23°C
$132 交易量
2%
24°C
$39 交易量
14%
25°C
$73 交易量
19%
26°C
$85 交易量
31%
27°C
$106 交易量
21%
28°C
$152 交易量
4%
29°C
$230 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$345 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high of 26°C in Munich on August 20, reflecting the market's leading 31% implied probability for that exact outcome amid a spread across 25–27°C. This positioning stems from mid-August synoptic patterns featuring a transitioning Atlantic ridge that supports moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, tempered by expected thundery showers that cap peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in Bavaria shows mean highs near 23–25°C with high interannual variability driven by North Atlantic Oscillation influences and local orographic effects from the Alps. Model consensus remains moderate given the 48-hour horizon, with potential shifts from updated runs on frontal timing or convective intensity likely to influence final resolution near the 25–27°C thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,615結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high of 26°C in Munich on August 20, reflecting the market's leading 31% implied probability for that exact outcome amid a spread across 25–27°C. This positioning stems from mid-August synoptic patterns featuring a transitioning Atlantic ridge that supports moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, tempered by expected thundery showers that cap peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in Bavaria shows mean highs near 23–25°C with high interannual variability driven by North Atlantic Oscillation influences and local orographic effects from the Alps. Model consensus remains moderate given the 48-hour horizon, with potential shifts from updated runs on frontal timing or convective intensity likely to influence final resolution near the 25–27°C thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,615結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high of 26°C in Munich on August 20, reflecting the market's leading 31% implied probability for that exact outcome amid a spread across 25–27°C. This positioning stems from mid-August synoptic patterns featuring a transitioning Atlantic ridge that supports moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, tempered by expected thundery showers that cap peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in Bavaria shows mean highs near 23–25°C with high interannual variability driven by North Atlantic Oscillation influences and local orographic effects from the Alps. Model consensus remains moderate given the 48-hour horizon, with potential shifts from updated runs on frontal timing or convective intensity likely to influence final resolution near the 25–27°C thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions