**Trader consensus heavily favors 50-60% turnout for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, reflecting the official reported figure of 57.23% among 8.79 million registered voters.** This places the result squarely inside the leading bucket and well below the 60%+ thresholds that receive minimal pricing. The single-day vote across more than 13,500 stations produced queues in urban centers but also reports of localized delays, confusion over rolls, and isolated incidents that paused counting in some areas. These factors, combined with broader economic dissatisfaction and polarized perceptions of the process, contributed to a decline of over 13 percentage points from the prior cycle. With results still being finalized and minor adjustments possible, the market assigns negligible probability to extremes below 50% or above 70%, consistent with the verified participation level.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtZambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
50-60% 92.6%
60-70% 2.5%
<50% <1%
70-80% <1%
$42,545 KL.
$42,545 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
<50%
<1%
50-60%
87%
60-70%
3%
70-80%
<1%
80%+
<1%
50-60% 92.6%
60-70% 2.5%
<50% <1%
70-80% <1%
$42,545 KL.
$42,545 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
<50%
$6,881 KL.
<1%
50-60%
$10,451 KL.
87%
60-70%
$13,853 KL.
3%
70-80%
$6,176 KL.
<1%
80%+
$5,185 KL.
<1%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).**Trader consensus heavily favors 50-60% turnout for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, reflecting the official reported figure of 57.23% among 8.79 million registered voters.** This places the result squarely inside the leading bucket and well below the 60%+ thresholds that receive minimal pricing. The single-day vote across more than 13,500 stations produced queues in urban centers but also reports of localized delays, confusion over rolls, and isolated incidents that paused counting in some areas. These factors, combined with broader economic dissatisfaction and polarized perceptions of the process, contributed to a decline of over 13 percentage points from the prior cycle. With results still being finalized and minor adjustments possible, the market assigns negligible probability to extremes below 50% or above 70%, consistent with the verified participation level.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Thị trường mở: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$42,545Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).**Trader consensus heavily favors 50-60% turnout for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, reflecting the official reported figure of 57.23% among 8.79 million registered voters.** This places the result squarely inside the leading bucket and well below the 60%+ thresholds that receive minimal pricing. The single-day vote across more than 13,500 stations produced queues in urban centers but also reports of localized delays, confusion over rolls, and isolated incidents that paused counting in some areas. These factors, combined with broader economic dissatisfaction and polarized perceptions of the process, contributed to a decline of over 13 percentage points from the prior cycle. With results still being finalized and minor adjustments possible, the market assigns negligible probability to extremes below 50% or above 70%, consistent with the verified participation level.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Khối lượng
$42,545Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 50-60% turnout for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, reflecting the official reported figure of 57.23% among 8.79 million registered voters.** This places the result squarely inside the leading bucket and well below the 60%+ thresholds that receive minimal pricing. The single-day vote across more than 13,500 stations produced queues in urban centers but also reports of localized delays, confusion over rolls, and isolated incidents that paused counting in some areas. These factors, combined with broader economic dissatisfaction and polarized perceptions of the process, contributed to a decline of over 13 percentage points from the prior cycle. With results still being finalized and minor adjustments possible, the market assigns negligible probability to extremes below 50% or above 70%, consistent with the verified participation level.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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