The January 2026 U.S. special operation in Venezuela to capture Nicolás Maduro, framed by officials as a targeted counter-narcotics action rather than territorial occupation, represents the main military development in the region this year. Subsequent U.S. efforts have centered on joint operations with partners such as Ecuador and Colombia against designated cartels, lethal boat strikes, and diplomatic pressure, without evidence of plans for broader unilateral invasions. With the presidential election cycle and congressional oversight continuing through year-end, traders view these patterns as consistent with historical precedents of limited interventions rather than sustained ground campaigns, supporting the strong consensus against additional invasions before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật12% khả năng
$269,867 KL.
$269,867 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
12% khả năng
$269,867 KL.
$269,867 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. special operation in Venezuela to capture Nicolás Maduro, framed by officials as a targeted counter-narcotics action rather than territorial occupation, represents the main military development in the region this year. Subsequent U.S. efforts have centered on joint operations with partners such as Ecuador and Colombia against designated cartels, lethal boat strikes, and diplomatic pressure, without evidence of plans for broader unilateral invasions. With the presidential election cycle and congressional oversight continuing through year-end, traders view these patterns as consistent with historical precedents of limited interventions rather than sustained ground campaigns, supporting the strong consensus against additional invasions before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$269,867Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. special operation in Venezuela to capture Nicolás Maduro, framed by officials as a targeted counter-narcotics action rather than territorial occupation, represents the main military development in the region this year. Subsequent U.S. efforts have centered on joint operations with partners such as Ecuador and Colombia against designated cartels, lethal boat strikes, and diplomatic pressure, without evidence of plans for broader unilateral invasions. With the presidential election cycle and congressional oversight continuing through year-end, traders view these patterns as consistent with historical precedents of limited interventions rather than sustained ground campaigns, supporting the strong consensus against additional invasions before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Khối lượng
$269,867Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The January 2026 U.S. special operation in Venezuela to capture Nicolás Maduro, framed by officials as a targeted counter-narcotics action rather than territorial occupation, represents the main military development in the region this year. Subsequent U.S. efforts have centered on joint operations with partners such as Ecuador and Colombia against designated cartels, lethal boat strikes, and diplomatic pressure, without evidence of plans for broader unilateral invasions. With the presidential election cycle and congressional oversight continuing through year-end, traders view these patterns as consistent with historical precedents of limited interventions rather than sustained ground campaigns, supporting the strong consensus against additional invasions before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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