Trump’s pattern of public criticism remains a central driver of trader positioning ahead of the August 31 resolution window. His July 25 White House Correspondents’ Association dinner remarks featured repeated attacks on journalists including Kaitlan Collins, along with political figures such as Ilhan Omar, Adam Schiff, Gavin Newsom, and Chris Christie. Earlier July NATO summit comments also targeted alliance members and European leaders. Ongoing foreign-policy tensions involving Iran and tariff negotiations with the Federal Reserve chair continue to surface in statements, while domestic political events and media interactions provide additional platforms for remarks. Scheduled August appearances or policy deadlines could shift probabilities toward specific individuals if fresh exchanges occur.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
$16,513 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Barack Obama
95%
Nicolás Maduro
68%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
51%
Jimmy Kimmel
49%
Candace Owens
49%
Megyn Kelly
49%
Jerome Powell
46%
Zohran Mamdani
29%
Benjamin Netanyahu
18%
Vladimir Putin
23%
Andy Burnham
15%
Emmanuel Macron
13%
Norah O'Donnell
8%
Friedrich Merz
7%
Elon Musk
7%
Kevin Warsh
7%
Pope Leo XIV
6%
Xi Jinping
6%
Viktor Orbán
5%
Mohammed bin Salman
5%
Pam Bondi
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Melania Trump
1%
Kaitlan Collins
43%
Tucker Carlson
54%
Alex Jones
38%
$16,513 KL.
Barack Obama
$1,708 KL.
95%
Nicolás Maduro
$0 KL.
68%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$0 KL.
51%
Jimmy Kimmel
$0 KL.
49%
Candace Owens
$303 KL.
49%
Megyn Kelly
$2 KL.
49%
Jerome Powell
$20 KL.
46%
Zohran Mamdani
$0 KL.
29%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$102 KL.
18%
Vladimir Putin
$26 KL.
23%
Andy Burnham
$1,036 KL.
15%
Emmanuel Macron
$734 KL.
13%
Norah O'Donnell
$1,039 KL.
8%
Friedrich Merz
$522 KL.
7%
Elon Musk
$876 KL.
7%
Kevin Warsh
$0 KL.
7%
Pope Leo XIV
$2,083 KL.
6%
Xi Jinping
$279 KL.
6%
Viktor Orbán
$0 KL.
5%
Mohammed bin Salman
$0 KL.
5%
Pam Bondi
$0 KL.
3%
J.D. Vance
$529 KL.
3%
Melania Trump
$2,946 KL.
1%
Kaitlan Collins
$361 KL.
43%
Tucker Carlson
$203 KL.
54%
Alex Jones
$1,018 KL.
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s pattern of public criticism remains a central driver of trader positioning ahead of the August 31 resolution window. His July 25 White House Correspondents’ Association dinner remarks featured repeated attacks on journalists including Kaitlan Collins, along with political figures such as Ilhan Omar, Adam Schiff, Gavin Newsom, and Chris Christie. Earlier July NATO summit comments also targeted alliance members and European leaders. Ongoing foreign-policy tensions involving Iran and tariff negotiations with the Federal Reserve chair continue to surface in statements, while domestic political events and media interactions provide additional platforms for remarks. Scheduled August appearances or policy deadlines could shift probabilities toward specific individuals if fresh exchanges occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,513Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s pattern of public criticism remains a central driver of trader positioning ahead of the August 31 resolution window. His July 25 White House Correspondents’ Association dinner remarks featured repeated attacks on journalists including Kaitlan Collins, along with political figures such as Ilhan Omar, Adam Schiff, Gavin Newsom, and Chris Christie. Earlier July NATO summit comments also targeted alliance members and European leaders. Ongoing foreign-policy tensions involving Iran and tariff negotiations with the Federal Reserve chair continue to surface in statements, while domestic political events and media interactions provide additional platforms for remarks. Scheduled August appearances or policy deadlines could shift probabilities toward specific individuals if fresh exchanges occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$16,513Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s pattern of public criticism remains a central driver of trader positioning ahead of the August 31 resolution window. His July 25 White House Correspondents’ Association dinner remarks featured repeated attacks on journalists including Kaitlan Collins, along with political figures such as Ilhan Omar, Adam Schiff, Gavin Newsom, and Chris Christie. Earlier July NATO summit comments also targeted alliance members and European leaders. Ongoing foreign-policy tensions involving Iran and tariff negotiations with the Federal Reserve chair continue to surface in statements, while domestic political events and media interactions provide additional platforms for remarks. Scheduled August appearances or policy deadlines could shift probabilities toward specific individuals if fresh exchanges occur.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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