President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$375,629 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
July 7
6%
July 22
91%
July 23
85%
July 24
85%
July 25
89%
July 26
86%
July 27
89%
July 28
89%
July 29
89%
July 30
88%
July 31
90%
$375,629 KL.
July 7
$20,122 KL.
6%
July 22
$6,064 KL.
91%
July 23
$3,461 KL.
85%
July 24
$4,473 KL.
85%
July 25
$2,569 KL.
89%
July 26
$1,275 KL.
86%
July 27
$1,458 KL.
89%
July 28
$5,510 KL.
89%
July 29
$2,666 KL.
89%
July 30
$2,529 KL.
88%
July 31
$2,193 KL.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$375,629Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$375,629Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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