Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 78%
OpenAI 20.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$186,167 KL.
$186,167 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
20%
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 20.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$186,167 KL.
$186,167 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$49,073 KL.
78%
OpenAI
$26,905 KL.
20%
$7,587 KL.
<1%
Z.ai
$7,270 KL.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$7,823 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$7,199 KL.
<1%
Meta
$7,501 KL.
<1%
Alibaba
$7,262 KL.
<1%
Moonshot
$7,712 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$7,134 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$7,197 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$7,266 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$7,071 KL.
<1%
Baidu
$7,188 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$7,052 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$7,148 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$7,241 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$539 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$186,167Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Khối lượng
$186,167Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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