Recent bilateral consultations on reciprocal tariff reductions for roughly $30 billion in goods, including agriculture and energy products, have advanced ahead of the scheduled Trump-Xi summit later this month. Chinese officials have signaled hopes for an early agreement on lowering import duties, building on the existing trade truce that suspends higher reciprocal tariffs until November. These talks, conducted under established trade and investment boards, focus on targeted cuts rather than broad new measures, with both sides emphasizing implementation timelines that align with year-end deadlines. The upcoming Washington meeting provides a clear near-term catalyst for formalizing elements of the package. Trader consensus at 87.3% for a deal by December 31 reflects this sustained diplomatic momentum and procedural progress.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật87% khả năng
$251,687 KL.
$251,687 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
87% khả năng
$251,687 KL.
$251,687 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral consultations on reciprocal tariff reductions for roughly $30 billion in goods, including agriculture and energy products, have advanced ahead of the scheduled Trump-Xi summit later this month. Chinese officials have signaled hopes for an early agreement on lowering import duties, building on the existing trade truce that suspends higher reciprocal tariffs until November. These talks, conducted under established trade and investment boards, focus on targeted cuts rather than broad new measures, with both sides emphasizing implementation timelines that align with year-end deadlines. The upcoming Washington meeting provides a clear near-term catalyst for formalizing elements of the package. Trader consensus at 87.3% for a deal by December 31 reflects this sustained diplomatic momentum and procedural progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$251,687Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral consultations on reciprocal tariff reductions for roughly $30 billion in goods, including agriculture and energy products, have advanced ahead of the scheduled Trump-Xi summit later this month. Chinese officials have signaled hopes for an early agreement on lowering import duties, building on the existing trade truce that suspends higher reciprocal tariffs until November. These talks, conducted under established trade and investment boards, focus on targeted cuts rather than broad new measures, with both sides emphasizing implementation timelines that align with year-end deadlines. The upcoming Washington meeting provides a clear near-term catalyst for formalizing elements of the package. Trader consensus at 87.3% for a deal by December 31 reflects this sustained diplomatic momentum and procedural progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$251,687Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent bilateral consultations on reciprocal tariff reductions for roughly $30 billion in goods, including agriculture and energy products, have advanced ahead of the scheduled Trump-Xi summit later this month. Chinese officials have signaled hopes for an early agreement on lowering import duties, building on the existing trade truce that suspends higher reciprocal tariffs until November. These talks, conducted under established trade and investment boards, focus on targeted cuts rather than broad new measures, with both sides emphasizing implementation timelines that align with year-end deadlines. The upcoming Washington meeting provides a clear near-term catalyst for formalizing elements of the package. Trader consensus at 87.3% for a deal by December 31 reflects this sustained diplomatic momentum and procedural progress.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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