Recent moderation in Elon Musk’s X activity has shaped trader positioning for the September 11–18 window, with the 180–199, 160–179, and 200–219 brackets trading as the tightest cluster near 18–19% implied probability each. Data from prior 2026 weeks show a cooldown from 2025 peaks, with multiple settlements landing in the 40–179 range amid routine business updates rather than election-driven surges or viral controversies. Variability remains the core dynamic—posting volume can shift sharply with Tesla or SpaceX news, xAI developments, or broader cultural moments—yet the absence of scheduled high-impact events in this stretch supports the market’s narrow mid-range focus. Upcoming chart updates or announcements could still widen the distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
180-199 19%
200-219 18%
160-179 17%
220-239 15%
MỚI
$10,037 KL.
MỚI
$10,037 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
6%
160-179
17%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
8%
260-279
4%
280-299
4%
300-319
3%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 18%
160-179 17%
220-239 15%
MỚI
$10,037 KL.
MỚI
$10,037 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
<20
$719 KL.
<1%
20-39
$167 KL.
<1%
40-59
$202 KL.
<1%
60-79
$202 KL.
<1%
80-99
$5,790 KL.
<1%
100-119
$100 KL.
1%
120-139
$40 KL.
4%
140-159
$164 KL.
6%
160-179
$84 KL.
17%
180-199
$188 KL.
19%
200-219
$151 KL.
18%
220-239
$12 KL.
15%
240-259
$52 KL.
8%
260-279
$160 KL.
4%
280-299
$190 KL.
4%
300-319
$240 KL.
3%
320-339
$450 KL.
2%
340-359
$40 KL.
1%
360-379
$20 KL.
1%
380-399
$132 KL.
1%
400-419
$108 KL.
<1%
420-439
$108 KL.
<1%
440-459
$293 KL.
<1%
460-479
$293 KL.
<1%
480-499
$122 KL.
<1%
500+
$8 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent moderation in Elon Musk’s X activity has shaped trader positioning for the September 11–18 window, with the 180–199, 160–179, and 200–219 brackets trading as the tightest cluster near 18–19% implied probability each. Data from prior 2026 weeks show a cooldown from 2025 peaks, with multiple settlements landing in the 40–179 range amid routine business updates rather than election-driven surges or viral controversies. Variability remains the core dynamic—posting volume can shift sharply with Tesla or SpaceX news, xAI developments, or broader cultural moments—yet the absence of scheduled high-impact events in this stretch supports the market’s narrow mid-range focus. Upcoming chart updates or announcements could still widen the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,037Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent moderation in Elon Musk’s X activity has shaped trader positioning for the September 11–18 window, with the 180–199, 160–179, and 200–219 brackets trading as the tightest cluster near 18–19% implied probability each. Data from prior 2026 weeks show a cooldown from 2025 peaks, with multiple settlements landing in the 40–179 range amid routine business updates rather than election-driven surges or viral controversies. Variability remains the core dynamic—posting volume can shift sharply with Tesla or SpaceX news, xAI developments, or broader cultural moments—yet the absence of scheduled high-impact events in this stretch supports the market’s narrow mid-range focus. Upcoming chart updates or announcements could still widen the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$10,037Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in Elon Musk’s X activity has shaped trader positioning for the September 11–18 window, with the 180–199, 160–179, and 200–219 brackets trading as the tightest cluster near 18–19% implied probability each. Data from prior 2026 weeks show a cooldown from 2025 peaks, with multiple settlements landing in the 40–179 range amid routine business updates rather than election-driven surges or viral controversies. Variability remains the core dynamic—posting volume can shift sharply with Tesla or SpaceX news, xAI developments, or broader cultural moments—yet the absence of scheduled high-impact events in this stretch supports the market’s narrow mid-range focus. Upcoming chart updates or announcements could still widen the distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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