**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for September 14–16, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 23.0% and sub-40 at 20.5%.** Recent three-day windows have frequently settled in these lower ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that often dips on weekends absent major product launches, regulatory news, or platform developments. Historical data show daily averages near 25–40 posts, with short periods swinging sharply based on engagement with Tesla updates, X commentary, or cultural topics. The tight clustering around moderate-low brackets captures this observed rhythm, while higher brackets remain thinly priced given the short timeframe and lack of catalysts expected to drive elevated reply or quote volume before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 52%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
<40
21%
40-64
52%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
1%
40-64 52%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
<40
$32 KL.
21%
40-64
$84 KL.
52%
65-89
$51 KL.
23%
90-114
$70 KL.
5%
115-139
$300 KL.
1%
140-164
$432 KL.
1%
165-189
$432 KL.
1%
190-214
$12 KL.
1%
215-239
$20 KL.
<1%
240+
$120 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for September 14–16, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 23.0% and sub-40 at 20.5%.** Recent three-day windows have frequently settled in these lower ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that often dips on weekends absent major product launches, regulatory news, or platform developments. Historical data show daily averages near 25–40 posts, with short periods swinging sharply based on engagement with Tesla updates, X commentary, or cultural topics. The tight clustering around moderate-low brackets captures this observed rhythm, while higher brackets remain thinly priced given the short timeframe and lack of catalysts expected to drive elevated reply or quote volume before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,553Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for September 14–16, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 23.0% and sub-40 at 20.5%.** Recent three-day windows have frequently settled in these lower ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that often dips on weekends absent major product launches, regulatory news, or platform developments. Historical data show daily averages near 25–40 posts, with short periods swinging sharply based on engagement with Tesla updates, X commentary, or cultural topics. The tight clustering around moderate-low brackets captures this observed rhythm, while higher brackets remain thinly priced given the short timeframe and lack of catalysts expected to drive elevated reply or quote volume before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$1,553Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market for September 14–16, 2026, centers on the 40–64 bracket at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 23.0% and sub-40 at 20.5%.** Recent three-day windows have frequently settled in these lower ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that often dips on weekends absent major product launches, regulatory news, or platform developments. Historical data show daily averages near 25–40 posts, with short periods swinging sharply based on engagement with Tesla updates, X commentary, or cultural topics. The tight clustering around moderate-low brackets captures this observed rhythm, while higher brackets remain thinly priced given the short timeframe and lack of catalysts expected to drive elevated reply or quote volume before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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