Ukraine maintains its constitutional commitment to NATO membership while receiving sustained allied military assistance, including a €70 billion pledge at the July 2026 Ankara Summit focused on equipment and training through 2027 rather than accession timelines. NATO statements continue to describe Kyiv’s path as irreversible yet condition any invitation on unanimous allied agreement and unspecified reforms, with no formal neutrality pledge emerging from ongoing diplomatic efforts. Recent comments from Ukrainian figures, including former military commander Valery Zaluzhnyi, have highlighted practical barriers to near-term entry, yet these remain unofficial and have not prompted a government commitment to forgo membership before 2027. Traders price the low probability of such an agreement accordingly, reflecting the absence of binding concessions amid active conflict and competing EU accession progress.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật9% khả năng
$134,460 KL.
$134,460 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
9% khả năng
$134,460 KL.
$134,460 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine maintains its constitutional commitment to NATO membership while receiving sustained allied military assistance, including a €70 billion pledge at the July 2026 Ankara Summit focused on equipment and training through 2027 rather than accession timelines. NATO statements continue to describe Kyiv’s path as irreversible yet condition any invitation on unanimous allied agreement and unspecified reforms, with no formal neutrality pledge emerging from ongoing diplomatic efforts. Recent comments from Ukrainian figures, including former military commander Valery Zaluzhnyi, have highlighted practical barriers to near-term entry, yet these remain unofficial and have not prompted a government commitment to forgo membership before 2027. Traders price the low probability of such an agreement accordingly, reflecting the absence of binding concessions amid active conflict and competing EU accession progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$134,460Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine maintains its constitutional commitment to NATO membership while receiving sustained allied military assistance, including a €70 billion pledge at the July 2026 Ankara Summit focused on equipment and training through 2027 rather than accession timelines. NATO statements continue to describe Kyiv’s path as irreversible yet condition any invitation on unanimous allied agreement and unspecified reforms, with no formal neutrality pledge emerging from ongoing diplomatic efforts. Recent comments from Ukrainian figures, including former military commander Valery Zaluzhnyi, have highlighted practical barriers to near-term entry, yet these remain unofficial and have not prompted a government commitment to forgo membership before 2027. Traders price the low probability of such an agreement accordingly, reflecting the absence of binding concessions amid active conflict and competing EU accession progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Khối lượng
$134,460Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains its constitutional commitment to NATO membership while receiving sustained allied military assistance, including a €70 billion pledge at the July 2026 Ankara Summit focused on equipment and training through 2027 rather than accession timelines. NATO statements continue to describe Kyiv’s path as irreversible yet condition any invitation on unanimous allied agreement and unspecified reforms, with no formal neutrality pledge emerging from ongoing diplomatic efforts. Recent comments from Ukrainian figures, including former military commander Valery Zaluzhnyi, have highlighted practical barriers to near-term entry, yet these remain unofficial and have not prompted a government commitment to forgo membership before 2027. Traders price the low probability of such an agreement accordingly, reflecting the absence of binding concessions amid active conflict and competing EU accession progress.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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