Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow, who won the 2023 by-election after John Tory’s resignation, declared her re-election bid on May 25, 2026, positioning her as the frontrunner for the October 26, 2026, vote. Recent polls, including an August 2026 Liaison Strategies survey, show her leading challengers such as Councillor Brad Bradford and newcomer Chris Alexander, though the gap has narrowed from earlier surveys. Trader consensus reflected in the market assigns Chow the highest implied probability due to her incumbency advantages, established name recognition, and campaign infrastructure, including the July appointment of a federal Liberal adviser as co-chair. Bradford’s consistent second-place standing draws the next-highest share, while other registered candidates remain marginal. Nominations close August 21, with advance voting set for early October.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOlivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino <1%
John Tory <1%
$131,380 KL.
$131,380 KL.
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino <1%
John Tory <1%
$131,380 KL.
$131,380 KL.
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Thị trường mở: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow, who won the 2023 by-election after John Tory’s resignation, declared her re-election bid on May 25, 2026, positioning her as the frontrunner for the October 26, 2026, vote. Recent polls, including an August 2026 Liaison Strategies survey, show her leading challengers such as Councillor Brad Bradford and newcomer Chris Alexander, though the gap has narrowed from earlier surveys. Trader consensus reflected in the market assigns Chow the highest implied probability due to her incumbency advantages, established name recognition, and campaign infrastructure, including the July appointment of a federal Liberal adviser as co-chair. Bradford’s consistent second-place standing draws the next-highest share, while other registered candidates remain marginal. Nominations close August 21, with advance voting set for early October.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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