South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including a projected Trump advantage exceeding 16 points in 2024. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the nomination decisively in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history and limited crossover potential, though outcomes could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as major national realignments, candidate health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Greenville-Spartanburg area.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
$43,176 KL.
$43,176 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$43,176 KL.
$43,176 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,733 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$23,443 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including a projected Trump advantage exceeding 16 points in 2024. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the nomination decisively in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history and limited crossover potential, though outcomes could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as major national realignments, candidate health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Greenville-Spartanburg area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$43,176Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including a projected Trump advantage exceeding 16 points in 2024. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the nomination decisively in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history and limited crossover potential, though outcomes could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as major national realignments, candidate health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Greenville-Spartanburg area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$43,176Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including a projected Trump advantage exceeding 16 points in 2024. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the nomination decisively in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history and limited crossover potential, though outcomes could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as major national realignments, candidate health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Greenville-Spartanburg area.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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