Recent polling averages place the SPD at 7–9% in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader consensus favoring that bracket. The party has maintained steady but modest support as the junior coalition partner in the outgoing CDU-SPD-FDP government, with little movement in the final weeks despite AfD dominance at around 41% and CDU at 23%. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September consistently show SPD results clustered in the upper single digits, above the 5% threshold but constrained by the party's weaker eastern base and competition from the Left and emerging alternatives. Late undecided voters and turnout patterns remain the main variables that could shift the final share within or outside this range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật7-9% 55%
5-7% 32%
9%+ 13.2%
<5% 1.6%
$131,462 KL.
$131,462 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
<5%
2%
5-7%
32%
7-9%
55%
9%+
13%
7-9% 55%
5-7% 32%
9%+ 13.2%
<5% 1.6%
$131,462 KL.
$131,462 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
<5%
$22,305 KL.
2%
5-7%
$38,126 KL.
32%
7-9%
$44,317 KL.
55%
9%+
$26,714 KL.
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place the SPD at 7–9% in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader consensus favoring that bracket. The party has maintained steady but modest support as the junior coalition partner in the outgoing CDU-SPD-FDP government, with little movement in the final weeks despite AfD dominance at around 41% and CDU at 23%. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September consistently show SPD results clustered in the upper single digits, above the 5% threshold but constrained by the party's weaker eastern base and competition from the Left and emerging alternatives. Late undecided voters and turnout patterns remain the main variables that could shift the final share within or outside this range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$131,462Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place the SPD at 7–9% in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader consensus favoring that bracket. The party has maintained steady but modest support as the junior coalition partner in the outgoing CDU-SPD-FDP government, with little movement in the final weeks despite AfD dominance at around 41% and CDU at 23%. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September consistently show SPD results clustered in the upper single digits, above the 5% threshold but constrained by the party's weaker eastern base and competition from the Left and emerging alternatives. Late undecided voters and turnout patterns remain the main variables that could shift the final share within or outside this range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Khối lượng
$131,462Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the SPD at 7–9% in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader consensus favoring that bracket. The party has maintained steady but modest support as the junior coalition partner in the outgoing CDU-SPD-FDP government, with little movement in the final weeks despite AfD dominance at around 41% and CDU at 23%. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September consistently show SPD results clustered in the upper single digits, above the 5% threshold but constrained by the party's weaker eastern base and competition from the Left and emerging alternatives. Late undecided voters and turnout patterns remain the main variables that could shift the final share within or outside this range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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