Recent polling averages place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 5–6 percent in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader consensus on the 5–7 percent bracket. The party has shown modest stability or slight gains in late August surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap, remaining near the five-percent threshold amid an AfD surge above 40 percent and CDU weakness. Final-week mobilization by national Green figures and emphasis on climate, education, and anti-extremism messaging have supported these figures, while broader fragmentation among smaller parties like the FDP and BSW adds uncertainty around entry. The 3–5 percent and 7 percent+ intervals reflect residual polling variance in the closing days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5-7% 66%
3-5% 23%
7%+ 11.8%
<3% <1%
$133,162 KL.
$133,162 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
1%
3-5%
23%
5-7%
66%
7%+
12%
5-7% 66%
3-5% 23%
7%+ 11.8%
<3% <1%
$133,162 KL.
$133,162 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
$7,253 KL.
1%
3-5%
$37,785 KL.
23%
5-7%
$52,615 KL.
66%
7%+
$35,510 KL.
12%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 5–6 percent in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader consensus on the 5–7 percent bracket. The party has shown modest stability or slight gains in late August surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap, remaining near the five-percent threshold amid an AfD surge above 40 percent and CDU weakness. Final-week mobilization by national Green figures and emphasis on climate, education, and anti-extremism messaging have supported these figures, while broader fragmentation among smaller parties like the FDP and BSW adds uncertainty around entry. The 3–5 percent and 7 percent+ intervals reflect residual polling variance in the closing days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$133,162Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 5–6 percent in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader consensus on the 5–7 percent bracket. The party has shown modest stability or slight gains in late August surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap, remaining near the five-percent threshold amid an AfD surge above 40 percent and CDU weakness. Final-week mobilization by national Green figures and emphasis on climate, education, and anti-extremism messaging have supported these figures, while broader fragmentation among smaller parties like the FDP and BSW adds uncertainty around entry. The 3–5 percent and 7 percent+ intervals reflect residual polling variance in the closing days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Khối lượng
$133,162Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 5–6 percent in the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader consensus on the 5–7 percent bracket. The party has shown modest stability or slight gains in late August surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap, remaining near the five-percent threshold amid an AfD surge above 40 percent and CDU weakness. Final-week mobilization by national Green figures and emphasis on climate, education, and anti-extremism messaging have supported these figures, while broader fragmentation among smaller parties like the FDP and BSW adds uncertainty around entry. The 3–5 percent and 7 percent+ intervals reflect residual polling variance in the closing days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp