Recent polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September 2026 place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 5-6% ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader emphasis on the 5-7% band. The five-percent threshold remains decisive, as Greens hover near it alongside SPD while FDP and BSW risk exclusion. Consistent survey results show modest stabilization or slight gains for the party under lead candidate Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz, driven by campaign messaging on climate policy and democratic alternatives amid AfD strength near 40%. This polling stability underpins the current market distribution, with traders assigning limited probability to outcomes well above or below the narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5-7% 66%
3-5% 23%
7%+ 13.8%
<3% <1%
$149,439 KL.
$149,439 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
<1%
3-5%
23%
5-7%
66%
7%+
14%
5-7% 66%
3-5% 23%
7%+ 13.8%
<3% <1%
$149,439 KL.
$149,439 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
$8,532 KL.
<1%
3-5%
$38,447 KL.
23%
5-7%
$54,349 KL.
66%
7%+
$48,112 KL.
14%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September 2026 place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 5-6% ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader emphasis on the 5-7% band. The five-percent threshold remains decisive, as Greens hover near it alongside SPD while FDP and BSW risk exclusion. Consistent survey results show modest stabilization or slight gains for the party under lead candidate Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz, driven by campaign messaging on climate policy and democratic alternatives amid AfD strength near 40%. This polling stability underpins the current market distribution, with traders assigning limited probability to outcomes well above or below the narrow range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$149,439Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September 2026 place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 5-6% ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader emphasis on the 5-7% band. The five-percent threshold remains decisive, as Greens hover near it alongside SPD while FDP and BSW risk exclusion. Consistent survey results show modest stabilization or slight gains for the party under lead candidate Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz, driven by campaign messaging on climate policy and democratic alternatives amid AfD strength near 40%. This polling stability underpins the current market distribution, with traders assigning limited probability to outcomes well above or below the narrow range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Khối lượng
$149,439Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September 2026 place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 5-6% ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, aligning with trader emphasis on the 5-7% band. The five-percent threshold remains decisive, as Greens hover near it alongside SPD while FDP and BSW risk exclusion. Consistent survey results show modest stabilization or slight gains for the party under lead candidate Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz, driven by campaign messaging on climate policy and democratic alternatives amid AfD strength near 40%. This polling stability underpins the current market distribution, with traders assigning limited probability to outcomes well above or below the narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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