**Recent polling has kept the CDU vote share tightly contested between the 20-23% and 23-26% brackets.** Multiple surveys in the final days before the 6 September 2026 Landtagswahl show the CDU at 22-24%, down sharply from its 37.1% result in 2021, while the AfD leads at 41-43%. The CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Minister President Sven Schulze faces sustained pressure from eastern German voter concerns over migration, economic conditions, and state-level performance, boosting AfD support under Ulrich Siegmund. High undecided voters (around 26% in late surveys) and typical polling margins of error sustain the close contest between the two leading market outcomes. Late shifts in turnout or preference among swing or non-voters could still separate the brackets on election night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật20-23% 42%
23-26% 35%
26%+ 14%
<20% 13%
$47,947 KL.
$47,947 KL.
<20%
13%
20-23%
42%
23-26%
35%
26%+
14%
20-23% 42%
23-26% 35%
26%+ 14%
<20% 13%
$47,947 KL.
$47,947 KL.
<20%
13%
20-23%
42%
23-26%
35%
26%+
14%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling has kept the CDU vote share tightly contested between the 20-23% and 23-26% brackets.** Multiple surveys in the final days before the 6 September 2026 Landtagswahl show the CDU at 22-24%, down sharply from its 37.1% result in 2021, while the AfD leads at 41-43%. The CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Minister President Sven Schulze faces sustained pressure from eastern German voter concerns over migration, economic conditions, and state-level performance, boosting AfD support under Ulrich Siegmund. High undecided voters (around 26% in late surveys) and typical polling margins of error sustain the close contest between the two leading market outcomes. Late shifts in turnout or preference among swing or non-voters could still separate the brackets on election night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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