North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
1 31%
2 22%
<1 18%
3 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
<1
18%
1
31%
2
22%
3
16%
4+
13%
1 31%
2 22%
<1 18%
3 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
<1
$321 KL.
18%
1
$91 KL.
31%
2
$112 KL.
22%
3
$91 KL.
16%
4+
$422 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,037Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Khối lượng
$1,037Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea's missile testing pace in September 2026 remains uncertain amid mixed signals from Pyongyang and Washington. A barrage of roughly 10 short-range ballistic missiles on August 20 followed earlier August launches on the 6th and 12th, coinciding with U.S. President Trump's decision to scale back joint exercises with South Korea and his stated intent to meet Kim Jong Un. North Korean statements, including from Kim Yo Jong, have dismissed these overtures while highlighting persistent hostility, sustaining pressure for continued demonstrations. Historical patterns show variable monthly volumes tied to military drills, diplomatic calendars, and internal testing cycles, with recent 2026 activity already exceeding prior lulls. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered around one or two tests as markets weigh potential de-escalation against the risk of further salvos before any renewed talks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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