North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<4 56%
4 25.7%
5 11%
6+ 4.7%
$20,650 KL.
$20,650 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
56%
4
26%
5
11%
6+
5%
<4 56%
4 25.7%
5 11%
6+ 4.7%
$20,650 KL.
$20,650 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
$2,265 KL.
56%
4
$632 KL.
26%
5
$247 KL.
11%
6+
$17,506 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,650Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Khối lượng
$20,650Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 to date—individual short-range launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, followed by a salvo of more than 10 missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These occurred amid the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises, which Pyongyang routinely denounces as provocative and which have historically prompted calibrated signaling through weapons tests. With roughly one week remaining before month-end and the exercises concluding, trader consensus reflected in the leading <4 outcome incorporates the possibility of one additional event while accounting for the potential that recent diplomatic signals, including U.S. engagement overtures, could limit further activity. The exact count depends on whether subsequent barrages register as separate tests under the market’s resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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