LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's deep Democratic lean, consistent primary performance, and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat, centered on Newark and surrounding areas in Essex, Union, and Hudson counties, has delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, including strong showings for McIver in her 2024 special and general elections. She secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with 85 percent against a little-known challenger, while Republican Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed as a perennial candidate with limited prior support. McIver's ongoing federal legal proceedings from a 2025 incident have not altered local backing, as reflected in primary results and race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Shifts remain possible from an adverse court ruling, unusually low turnout, or a broader national swing, though historical patterns indicate narrow pathways for change.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-10 House Election Winner
NJ-10 House Election Winner
$50,537 KL.
$50,537 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
LaMonica McIver (D)
95%
Carmen Bucco (R)
4%
$50,537 KL.
$50,537 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
LaMonica McIver (D)
$14,025 KL.
95%
Carmen Bucco (R)
$36,511 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's deep Democratic lean, consistent primary performance, and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat, centered on Newark and surrounding areas in Essex, Union, and Hudson counties, has delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, including strong showings for McIver in her 2024 special and general elections. She secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with 85 percent against a little-known challenger, while Republican Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed as a perennial candidate with limited prior support. McIver's ongoing federal legal proceedings from a 2025 incident have not altered local backing, as reflected in primary results and race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Shifts remain possible from an adverse court ruling, unusually low turnout, or a broader national swing, though historical patterns indicate narrow pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$50,537Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's deep Democratic lean, consistent primary performance, and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat, centered on Newark and surrounding areas in Essex, Union, and Hudson counties, has delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, including strong showings for McIver in her 2024 special and general elections. She secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with 85 percent against a little-known challenger, while Republican Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed as a perennial candidate with limited prior support. McIver's ongoing federal legal proceedings from a 2025 incident have not altered local backing, as reflected in primary results and race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Shifts remain possible from an adverse court ruling, unusually low turnout, or a broader national swing, though historical patterns indicate narrow pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$50,537Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's deep Democratic lean, consistent primary performance, and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat, centered on Newark and surrounding areas in Essex, Union, and Hudson counties, has delivered Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, including strong showings for McIver in her 2024 special and general elections. She secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with 85 percent against a little-known challenger, while Republican Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed as a perennial candidate with limited prior support. McIver's ongoing federal legal proceedings from a 2025 incident have not altered local backing, as reflected in primary results and race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Shifts remain possible from an adverse court ruling, unusually low turnout, or a broader national swing, though historical patterns indicate narrow pathways for change.
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