Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed in March 2026 after his father’s assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes, has issued attributed statements and held private meetings with officials yet maintained limited public visibility due to reported injuries and security threats during ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects uncertainty over his health, the regime’s preference for controlled messaging via state media, and institutional needs to project continuity without exposing the leader. Key catalysts include scheduled commemorations such as the July 2026 memorial events, potential official addresses, or diplomatic summits that could prompt a verified sighting. Resolution hinges on photographic or video confirmation meeting market criteria, with low-probability scenarios like sudden health disclosures or escalated threats able to shift timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMojtaba Khamenei xuất hiện trước công chúng bởi...?
Mojtaba Khamenei xuất hiện trước công chúng bởi...?
$6,136,114 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
August 31
5%
September 30
9%
December 31
23%
$6,136,114 KL.
August 31
$210,847 KL.
5%
September 30
$158,926 KL.
9%
December 31
$179,964 KL.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed in March 2026 after his father’s assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes, has issued attributed statements and held private meetings with officials yet maintained limited public visibility due to reported injuries and security threats during ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects uncertainty over his health, the regime’s preference for controlled messaging via state media, and institutional needs to project continuity without exposing the leader. Key catalysts include scheduled commemorations such as the July 2026 memorial events, potential official addresses, or diplomatic summits that could prompt a verified sighting. Resolution hinges on photographic or video confirmation meeting market criteria, with low-probability scenarios like sudden health disclosures or escalated threats able to shift timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2026, 1:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,136,114Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2026, 1:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed in March 2026 after his father’s assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes, has issued attributed statements and held private meetings with officials yet maintained limited public visibility due to reported injuries and security threats during ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects uncertainty over his health, the regime’s preference for controlled messaging via state media, and institutional needs to project continuity without exposing the leader. Key catalysts include scheduled commemorations such as the July 2026 memorial events, potential official addresses, or diplomatic summits that could prompt a verified sighting. Resolution hinges on photographic or video confirmation meeting market criteria, with low-probability scenarios like sudden health disclosures or escalated threats able to shift timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Khối lượng
$6,136,114Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2026, 1:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed in March 2026 after his father’s assassination amid U.S.-Israel strikes, has issued attributed statements and held private meetings with officials yet maintained limited public visibility due to reported injuries and security threats during ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment on appearance timelines reflects uncertainty over his health, the regime’s preference for controlled messaging via state media, and institutional needs to project continuity without exposing the leader. Key catalysts include scheduled commemorations such as the July 2026 memorial events, potential official addresses, or diplomatic summits that could prompt a verified sighting. Resolution hinges on photographic or video confirmation meeting market criteria, with low-probability scenarios like sudden health disclosures or escalated threats able to shift timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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