Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf retains strong backing as Speaker of Iran’s Islamic Consultative Assembly after securing re-election in May 2026 for a seventh consecutive term with roughly 235 of 271 votes cast. Limited criticism from a small ultraconservative Paydari faction emerged in June over his handling of U.S. diplomacy, the Islamabad MoU, and temporary parliamentary closure during talks, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 of 290 members opposed to his leadership. No formal removal process or snap speaker vote is scheduled before the next annual election cycle in 2027. Ongoing factional tensions over foreign policy and wartime measures remain the main variables that could affect longer-term positioning, while short-term continuity appears anchored in majority parliamentary support and alignment with Supreme Leader directives.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$54,247 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
13%
$54,247 KL.
September 30
$8,101 KL.
3%
December 31
$22,559 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf retains strong backing as Speaker of Iran’s Islamic Consultative Assembly after securing re-election in May 2026 for a seventh consecutive term with roughly 235 of 271 votes cast. Limited criticism from a small ultraconservative Paydari faction emerged in June over his handling of U.S. diplomacy, the Islamabad MoU, and temporary parliamentary closure during talks, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 of 290 members opposed to his leadership. No formal removal process or snap speaker vote is scheduled before the next annual election cycle in 2027. Ongoing factional tensions over foreign policy and wartime measures remain the main variables that could affect longer-term positioning, while short-term continuity appears anchored in majority parliamentary support and alignment with Supreme Leader directives.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$54,247Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf retains strong backing as Speaker of Iran’s Islamic Consultative Assembly after securing re-election in May 2026 for a seventh consecutive term with roughly 235 of 271 votes cast. Limited criticism from a small ultraconservative Paydari faction emerged in June over his handling of U.S. diplomacy, the Islamabad MoU, and temporary parliamentary closure during talks, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 of 290 members opposed to his leadership. No formal removal process or snap speaker vote is scheduled before the next annual election cycle in 2027. Ongoing factional tensions over foreign policy and wartime measures remain the main variables that could affect longer-term positioning, while short-term continuity appears anchored in majority parliamentary support and alignment with Supreme Leader directives.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$54,247Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf retains strong backing as Speaker of Iran’s Islamic Consultative Assembly after securing re-election in May 2026 for a seventh consecutive term with roughly 235 of 271 votes cast. Limited criticism from a small ultraconservative Paydari faction emerged in June over his handling of U.S. diplomacy, the Islamabad MoU, and temporary parliamentary closure during talks, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 of 290 members opposed to his leadership. No formal removal process or snap speaker vote is scheduled before the next annual election cycle in 2027. Ongoing factional tensions over foreign policy and wartime measures remain the main variables that could affect longer-term positioning, while short-term continuity appears anchored in majority parliamentary support and alignment with Supreme Leader directives.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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