Forecast models from sources including globalmeteo and WindBorne project Toronto's September 19 minimum near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 10–18 km/h, and light precipitation chances around 15%. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and onshore flow from Lake Ontario, contrasting with clearer prior nights. Trader balance between 15°C-or-higher and sub-5°C outcomes reflects model spread in overnight boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any rain-cooled air mass, while clustered probabilities near 10–14°C align with ensemble consensus around historical September averages of 13°C lows. Updated NHC and Canadian meteorological guidance expected overnight could refine the precise threshold before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on September 19?
5°C or below 93%
15°C or higher 93%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
5°C or below
93%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
93%
5°C or below 93%
15°C or higher 93%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
5°C or below
93%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including globalmeteo and WindBorne project Toronto's September 19 minimum near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 10–18 km/h, and light precipitation chances around 15%. This setup favors radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and onshore flow from Lake Ontario, contrasting with clearer prior nights. Trader balance between 15°C-or-higher and sub-5°C outcomes reflects model spread in overnight boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any rain-cooled air mass, while clustered probabilities near 10–14°C align with ensemble consensus around historical September averages of 13°C lows. Updated NHC and Canadian meteorological guidance expected overnight could refine the precise threshold before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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