Trader sentiment shows near-even odds between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher because short-range forecast models diverge on whether a reinforcing cold air mass or warmer subtropical flow will dominate Sao Paulo overnight. Ensemble guidance from global systems highlights sensitivity to the exact position and timing of a frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge, with minimum temperatures highly responsive to cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology places typical daily lows near 15–18°C, so both cooler and warmer extremes remain within historical variability. Resolution depends on official station readings, and updated model cycles or observational data over the next 24 hours could quickly shift the balance as the event window narrows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 19?
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 98%
16°C 40%
13°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
100%
12°C
15%
13°C
39%
14°C
38%
15°C
37%
16°C
40%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
15%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
98%
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 98%
16°C 40%
13°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
12°C
$0 KL.
15%
13°C
$0 KL.
39%
14°C
$0 KL.
38%
15°C
$0 KL.
37%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$0 KL.
38%
18°C
$0 KL.
38%
19°C
$0 KL.
15%
20°C
$0 KL.
15%
21°C or higher
$100 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment shows near-even odds between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher because short-range forecast models diverge on whether a reinforcing cold air mass or warmer subtropical flow will dominate Sao Paulo overnight. Ensemble guidance from global systems highlights sensitivity to the exact position and timing of a frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge, with minimum temperatures highly responsive to cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology places typical daily lows near 15–18°C, so both cooler and warmer extremes remain within historical variability. Resolution depends on official station readings, and updated model cycles or observational data over the next 24 hours could quickly shift the balance as the event window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$100Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment shows near-even odds between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher because short-range forecast models diverge on whether a reinforcing cold air mass or warmer subtropical flow will dominate Sao Paulo overnight. Ensemble guidance from global systems highlights sensitivity to the exact position and timing of a frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge, with minimum temperatures highly responsive to cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology places typical daily lows near 15–18°C, so both cooler and warmer extremes remain within historical variability. Resolution depends on official station readings, and updated model cycles or observational data over the next 24 hours could quickly shift the balance as the event window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$100Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment shows near-even odds between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher because short-range forecast models diverge on whether a reinforcing cold air mass or warmer subtropical flow will dominate Sao Paulo overnight. Ensemble guidance from global systems highlights sensitivity to the exact position and timing of a frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge, with minimum temperatures highly responsive to cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology places typical daily lows near 15–18°C, so both cooler and warmer extremes remain within historical variability. Resolution depends on official station readings, and updated model cycles or observational data over the next 24 hours could quickly shift the balance as the event window narrows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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