Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 5, 2026, shows a minimum temperature near 70°F under partly cloudy skies with northerly flow, supporting the market's 92.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Official observations from Central Park and LaGuardia confirm recent overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s amid above-normal early-September warmth, with limited radiational cooling expected due to residual moisture and light winds. This positioning aligns with the National Weather Service's daytime high forecast near 80°F and minimal overnight drop. A sharper-than-expected clearing trend or shift to calmer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 66-68°F, though current model consensus and historical analogs for similar setups make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on September 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 5?
70-71°F 94%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 2.6%
64-65°F <1%
$8,962 KL.
$8,962 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
94%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 94%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 2.6%
64-65°F <1%
$8,962 KL.
$8,962 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
61°F or below
$338 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$200 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$459 KL.
1%
66-67°F
$598 KL.
3%
68-69°F
$2,005 KL.
6%
70-71°F
$2,659 KL.
94%
72-73°F
$842 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$690 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$696 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$301 KL.
<1%
80°F or higher
$175 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 5, 2026, shows a minimum temperature near 70°F under partly cloudy skies with northerly flow, supporting the market's 92.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Official observations from Central Park and LaGuardia confirm recent overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s amid above-normal early-September warmth, with limited radiational cooling expected due to residual moisture and light winds. This positioning aligns with the National Weather Service's daytime high forecast near 80°F and minimal overnight drop. A sharper-than-expected clearing trend or shift to calmer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 66-68°F, though current model consensus and historical analogs for similar setups make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,962Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 5, 2026, shows a minimum temperature near 70°F under partly cloudy skies with northerly flow, supporting the market's 92.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Official observations from Central Park and LaGuardia confirm recent overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s amid above-normal early-September warmth, with limited radiational cooling expected due to residual moisture and light winds. This positioning aligns with the National Weather Service's daytime high forecast near 80°F and minimal overnight drop. A sharper-than-expected clearing trend or shift to calmer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 66-68°F, though current model consensus and historical analogs for similar setups make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,962Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 5, 2026, shows a minimum temperature near 70°F under partly cloudy skies with northerly flow, supporting the market's 92.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Official observations from Central Park and LaGuardia confirm recent overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s amid above-normal early-September warmth, with limited radiational cooling expected due to residual moisture and light winds. This positioning aligns with the National Weather Service's daytime high forecast near 80°F and minimal overnight drop. A sharper-than-expected clearing trend or shift to calmer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 66-68°F, though current model consensus and historical analogs for similar setups make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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