Forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicates a mild overnight period for Milan on September 18, with the daily minimum temperature expected near 17–18 °C under light easterly flow and partly cloudy skies. This aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-September, when average lows reach 14–16 °C, though recent high-pressure dominance has kept readings several degrees above baseline. Trader positioning across narrow bins around 17–19 °C reflects model agreement on the central tendency, while the matched probabilities on sub-12 °C or 22 °C+ outcomes capture residual uncertainty from possible localized cooling under clearer skies or brief shower-induced mixing. Updated short-range guidance tonight will refine the exact minimum ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 18?
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 84%
16°C 39%
19°C 39%
12°C or below
92%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
39%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
84%
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 84%
16°C 39%
19°C 39%
12°C or below
92%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
39%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicates a mild overnight period for Milan on September 18, with the daily minimum temperature expected near 17–18 °C under light easterly flow and partly cloudy skies. This aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-September, when average lows reach 14–16 °C, though recent high-pressure dominance has kept readings several degrees above baseline. Trader positioning across narrow bins around 17–19 °C reflects model agreement on the central tendency, while the matched probabilities on sub-12 °C or 22 °C+ outcomes capture residual uncertainty from possible localized cooling under clearer skies or brief shower-induced mixing. Updated short-range guidance tonight will refine the exact minimum ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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